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Mountain West · 2016 · History

Air Force Falcons

10-3 (5-3 Mountain West)Last: W 45-21 vs South Alabama

Troy Calhoun · 10th season · .592 at Air Force · .592 career since 2007

Rating
-1.268
Adj Off
29.658
Adj Def
30.873
WAP
-1.7143

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate80.3%248.8%94
Plays per game69.87258.2126
Time of possession34:03325:57124
Yards per pass attempt11.718.5120
Yards per rush5.0413.416
Points per game35.23026.249
Points per opportunity3.80423.2750
Starting field positionOwn 3144Own 3056

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.20839+0.14560
Adj. EPA per play+0.14074+0.18481
Success rate48.2%1436.6%15
Explosiveness1.001281.51128
Rushing EPA per play+0.17535+0.01221
Passing EPA per play+0.4538+0.28392
Std downs success52.9%1439.0%5
Passing downs success34.2%5832.6%63

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate67.1%10171.2%60
Turnovers per game1.31341.7742
Penalties per game5.2345.491
Penalty yards per game52.45740.8117
3rd down conversion50.5%743.5%103
4th down tries per game1.151001.4676
4th down conversion53.3%5642.1%36

Rank out of 128 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and results

DateOpponentResultWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 3Wk 1Abilene Christian(FCS)W37-21+0.00+0.31+0.21
Sep 10Wk 2110Georgia StateW48-14+0.03+0.31+0.09
Sep 24Wk 4@87Utah StateW27-20+0.13+0.06+0.05
Oct 1Wk 556NavyW28-14+0.17+0.22+0.11
Oct 8Wk 6@84WyomingL26-35-0.86+0.17+0.07
Oct 15Wk 7N83New MexicoL40-45-0.89+0.32+0.38
Oct 22Wk 8115Hawai'iL27-34-0.98-0.01+0.22
Oct 28Wk 9@120Fresno StateW31-21+0.04+0.13-0.02
Nov 5Wk 10@79ArmyW31-12+0.17+0.39-0.03
Nov 12Wk 1164Colorado StateW49-46+0.12——
Nov 19Wk 12@109San José StateW41-38+0.06+0.26+0.32
Nov 25Wk 1332Boise StateW27-20+0.26+0.14+0.11
Dec 30PostN107South AlabamaW45-21+0.04+0.24+0.23

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
6Nate Romine2016Y72%45/10841.7%120611.2104
2Arion WorthmanSR26%23/3959.0%54614.042

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
3D.J. Johnson2016Y18%1506224.120
28Jacobi Owens2016Y17%1428596.053
43Shayne Davern2016Y14%1164754.144
33Timothy McVey2016Y10%837088.5108

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
9Jalen RobinetteWR 2016Y23%3595927.46
85Ryan ReffittTE 2016Y5%817321.62
12Tyler WilliamsWR 2016Y4%613622.70

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
93Samuel ByersDL 2016Y334.51.510
54Lochlin DeeksDL 2016Y322.00.001
97Santo CoppolaDL 2016Y282.52.011
53David HarrisDL 2016Y61.00.001

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
47Claude Alexander IIILB 2016Y444.51.520
48Jacob OnyechiLB 2016Y407.52.030
40Ryan WatsonLB 2016Y3811.09.010
41Patrick HealyLB 2016Y334.00.531
50Jack FlorLB 2016Y283.02.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
8Weston SteelhammerDB 2016Y76475.5
18Brodie HicksDB 2016Y72142.5
21Jesse WashingtonDB 2016Y511122.0
25Roland LadipoDB 2016Y36710.5
14Hayes LinnDB 2016Y32300.0
2Marquis GriffinDB 2016Y22100.5
27Tyler WeaverDB 2016Y7000.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
11Luke Strebel2016Y22/2588%4851/52117

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
91Steve Brosy2016Y4841.16200