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Sun Belt · 2025 · History

Arkansas State Red Wolves

7-6 (5-3 Sun Belt)Last: W 34-28 vs Missouri State

Butch Jones · 5th season · .413 at Arkansas State · .547 career since 2007

Rating
-9.9101
Adj Off
20.7108
Adj Def
30.699
WAP
-5.0593

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate43.4%11851.5%57
Plays per game75.5569.932
Time of possession29:318230:2954
Yards per pass attempt6.6978.1119
Yards per rush3.61184.590
Points per game25.28727.484
Points per opportunity3.311103.9089
Starting field positionOwn 3036Own 2847

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.090110+0.19297
Adj. EPA per play+0.045122+0.226107
Success rate41.9%7543.6%97
Explosiveness1.151211.2997
Rushing EPA per play-0.036130+0.11983
Passing EPA per play+0.23075+0.310100
Std downs success47.5%7748.6%87
Passing downs success28.8%8432.0%99

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate58.1%12981.4%128
Turnovers per game1.771231.2375
Penalties per game6.3829.01
Penalty yards per game57.89178.01
3rd down conversion39.3%7441.7%97
4th down tries per game1.92701.15135
4th down conversion60.0%3653.3%73

Rank out of 136 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and results

DateOpponentResultWAPOff EPADef EPA
Aug 30Wk 1Southeast Missouri State(FCS)W42-24+0.00+0.33+0.19
Sep 6Wk 2N40ArkansasL14-56-0.74-0.10+0.69
Sep 13Wk 338Iowa StateL16-24-0.77-0.01+0.37
Sep 20Wk 4@111Kennesaw StateL21-28-0.95+0.14+0.15
Sep 27Wk 5@130UL MonroeL16-28-0.98-0.02+0.23
Oct 4Wk 670Texas StateW31-30+0.09+0.19+0.11
Oct 14Wk 8@99South AlabamaW15-14+0.07+0.12+0.11
Oct 25Wk 996Georgia SouthernW34-24+0.03+0.23+0.06
Nov 1Wk 10@95TroyW23-10+0.09+0.03-0.07
Nov 8Wk 11109Southern MissL21-27-0.98-0.03+0.24
Nov 20Wk 13102LouisianaL30-34-0.970.00+0.10
Nov 29Wk 14@116App StateW30-29+0.04+0.17+0.17
Dec 18PostN114Missouri StateW34-28+0.03+0.13+0.25

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
1Jaylen RaynorSR98%332/50066.4%33646.71911

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
5Kenyon ClaySR31%1395233.8337
4Devin SpencerJR24%1085595.2325

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
7Corey RuckerWR SR14%73102914.14
2Chauncy CobbWR SR14%7379710.91
3Hunter SummersWR SR9%4450511.54
19Tyler FortenberryTE SR6%322949.22
10Jaylen BonelliWR SR4%222009.13

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
32Ethan HasslerDL SR5513.08.071
10Demarcus HendricksDE SR5313.58.571
97Simeon MitchellDT SR463.01.521
17Christopher BotiDT SR373.02.511
94Cody SiglerDL SR347.05.066
4Bryan Whitehead IIDE SR219.04.002

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
7Aaron AlexanderLB SR923.00.501
20Kyle TaylorLB SR841.00.010
22Nigel NelsonLB SO541.01.020
12Javante MackeyLB JR252.50.000
46Terry Kirksey Jr.LB SR180.50.501

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
6AG McGheeS SR83512.5
8Brandon BarnesS JR68212.5
9Avante DickersonCB SR54423.0
15Brandon GreilS SR53113.0
0Trenton Alan YoweCB SR49401.5
16Joe DrewS SO26204.0
18Malekhi WeedonS SO8200.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
34Clune Van AndelSR21/2778%5436/3799

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
96Jackson WallerJR5941.357192