CFR
Navy logo

American Athletic · 2026 · History

Navy Midshipmen

2-4 (1-3 American Athletic)Last: L 34-38 at UTSANext: vs North Texas

Brian Newberry · 4th season · .636 at Navy · .636 career since 2023

Rating
-8.8101
Adj Off
21.9101
Adj Def
30.7105
WAP
-3.55117

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate78.0%351.8%52
Plays per game64.310065.080
Time of possession31:114128:4997
Yards per pass attempt9.2149.4136
Yards per rush5.7102.77
Points per game28.27725.890
Points per opportunity4.09523.90103
Starting field positionOwn 26128Own 31122

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.23231+0.12292
Adj. EPA per play+0.09371+0.171102
Success rate47.9%2937.4%40
Explosiveness1.19951.39129
Rushing EPA per play+0.2785-0.01939
Passing EPA per play+0.13497+0.339119
Std downs success56.2%943.2%34
Passing downs success25.7%12027.1%45

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate67.7%3962.5%106
Turnovers per game1.501030.50134
Penalties per game5.7404.3132
Penalty yards per game45.02337.5131
3rd down conversion43.5%4444.6%123
4th down tries per game2.33272.0046
4th down conversion71.4%1858.3%92

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 4.4-7.6

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 5Wk 1Towson(FCS)W42-150.00+0.48+0.05
Sep 12Wk 2@104Florida AtlanticL30-38-0.93+0.10+0.20
Sep 25Wk 4@112UABL20-24-0.940.00+0.18
Oct 3Wk 5@103Air ForceL9-14-0.93-0.01-0.15
Oct 10Wk 694TulsaW34-26+0.05+0.31+0.17
Oct 17Wk 7@63UTSAL34-38-0.80+0.41+0.27
Oct 24Wk 860North Texas+7.133%+0.12——
Oct 31Wk 9N2Notre Dame#4+36.11%+0.75——
Nov 7Wk 10108Temple-4.160%+0.03——
Nov 21Wk 1265Memphis+5.936%+0.10——
Nov 28Wk 13@134Charlotte-9.974%+0.01——
Dec 12Wk 15N80Army+6.833%+0.12——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
8Jackson GutierrezFR72%25/5446.3%55910.461
5Braxton WoodsonFR28%8/2138.1%1346.401

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
40Vic ListortiFR13%392185.624

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
23Charles RobinsonWR FR9%7537.61
26Michael BarrowWR FR8%6437.20
84Jordan CollinsTE FR7%518937.83
89Luke HutchisonWR FR5%47518.80
83Truman BrasfieldWR FR4%316555.02

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
65Aiden LyczekDE FR276.53.522
95Griffen WillisDT FR223.01.021
94Xavyer ArringtonDL FR122.50.020
99Chris HerockDL FR81.00.000
90Ikenna OzurumbaDE FR60.50.010
77Connor YoungDL FR52.01.510

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
58Coleman CauleyLB FR492.52.000
56MarcAnthony ParkerLB FR416.04.000
53Marcus BleazardLB FR152.01.000
45Christian JohnsonLB FR150.00.000
52Nolan McCamyLB FR132.51.010

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
16Giuseppe SessiS FR41210.5
8Aaron RoseS FR23102.0
13Cam RobinsonCB FR23201.0
6Phillip HamiltonCB FR18111.5
3Ira OnihaCB FR14000.0
5Matthew SeligaS FR13011.0
7Kush'i AbrahamS FR8000.5

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
15Nolan BartleyFR3/650%3418/2027

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
11Jacob CarlsonFR1239.65221
99Lance GossettFR749.36211