

Mountain West · 2026 · History
Air Force Falcons
5-2 (3-2 Mountain West)Last: L 14-28 at WyomingNext: vs UConn
Troy Calhoun · 20th season · .593 at Air Force · .593 career since 2007
- Rating
- -9.0103
- Adj Off
- 21.6104
- Adj Def
- 30.6104
- WAP
- -1.7472
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 83.7%1 | 51.7%54 |
| Plays per game | 74.69 | 53.6138 |
| Time of possession | 36:341 | 23:26138 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.189 | 7.065 |
| Yards per rush | 5.322 | 4.6101 |
| Points per game | 28.473 | 20.940 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.4526 | 4.07114 |
| Starting field position | Own 2881 | Own 2746 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.21934 | +0.06463 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.08681 | +0.176106 |
| Success rate | 49.4%15 | 38.7%48 |
| Explosiveness | 1.04137 | 1.2691 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.2933 | +0.03668 |
| Passing EPA per play | -0.057133 | +0.15270 |
| Std downs success | 55.7%11 | 44.7%52 |
| Passing downs success | 28.3%99 | 27.1%44 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 75.0%6 | 66.7%117 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.0040 | 1.0088 |
| Penalties per game | 5.432 | 4.3134 |
| Penalty yards per game | 47.733 | 34.4136 |
| 3rd down conversion | 52.9%9 | 35.1%46 |
| 4th down tries per game | 2.5717 | 1.7177 |
| 4th down conversion | 83.3%2 | 66.7%107 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 7.3-4.7
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | Duquesne(FCS) | W34-0 | 0.00 | +0.40 | -0.34 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | 86 | L32-38 | -0.93 | +0.22 | +0.11 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | @119 | W36-33 | +0.04 | +0.26 | +0.14 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | 101 | W14-9 | +0.04 | -0.15 | -0.01 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | @136 | W28-7 | +0.01 | +0.37 | -0.12 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | 88 | W41-31 | +0.06 | +0.38 | +0.20 |
| Oct 23Wk 8 | @121 | L14-28 | -0.96 | +0.07 | +0.38 |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 83 | +2.544% | +0.07 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | @80 | +9.926% | +0.16 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | 118 | -6.265% | +0.02 | — | — |
| Nov 20Wk 12 | 135 | -16.185% | +0.00 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | @43 | +18.212% | +0.31 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9Liam SzarkaFR | 58% | 19/38 | 50.0% | 296 | 7.8 | 1 | 4 |
| 5Evan MeddersFR | 21% | 8/14 | 57.1% | 92 | 6.6 | 2 | 0 |
| 4Howard Fisher IVFR | 11% | 3/7 | 42.9% | 36 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Owen AllenFR | 20% | 88 | 376 | 4.3 | 3 | 0 |
| 44Rocco ContiFR | 13% | 58 | 366 | 6.3 | 2 | 3 |
| 28Gage LaDueFR | 9% | 42 | 227 | 5.4 | 0 | 1 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80Simon KibbeeTE FR | 12% | 8 | 135 | 16.9 | 0 |
| 3Matt LongWR FR | 11% | 7 | 110 | 15.7 | 2 |
| 10Adam HrynciwWR FR | 8% | 5 | 89 | 17.8 | 1 |
| 8Jonah DawsonWR FR | 5% | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 0 |
| 19Grant WayneWR FR | 5% | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 1 |
| 29Sylas Maiava-AlaimaloWR FR | 3% | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 0 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48Antonio MenardDE FR | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 95Noah DanielsDL FR | 9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| 93Andrew TillettDL FR | 8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 |
| 99Jayden OquendoDL FR | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 97Bennett WilliamsDL FR | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 90Muhammad AlcineDL FR | 3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Blake FletcherLB FR | 73 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| 8Dallas DaleyLB FR | 44 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 45Jaylin ReeseLB FR | 23 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30Isaac HubertLB FR | 12 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 0Luke FisherLB FR | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Korey JohnsonDB FR | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 36Max MustellDB FR | 25 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 |
| 26Alexander PerezDB FR | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 5Roger Jones Jr.DB FR | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 23Cade PatersonDB FR | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 22Ehimen OyamendanDB FR | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 17Thomas YoungDB FR | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90Carter CremascoliFR | 9/10 | 90% | 52 | 20/21 | 47 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94Will DuncanFR | 15 | 46.1 | 67 | 7 | 1 |