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Mountain West · 2026 · History

Air Force Falcons

5-2 (3-2 Mountain West)Last: L 14-28 at WyomingNext: vs UConn

Troy Calhoun · 20th season · .593 at Air Force · .593 career since 2007

Rating
-9.0103
Adj Off
21.6104
Adj Def
30.6104
WAP
-1.7472

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate83.7%151.7%54
Plays per game74.6953.6138
Time of possession36:34123:26138
Yards per pass attempt7.1897.065
Yards per rush5.3224.6101
Points per game28.47320.940
Points per opportunity4.45264.07114
Starting field positionOwn 2881Own 2746

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.21934+0.06463
Adj. EPA per play+0.08681+0.176106
Success rate49.4%1538.7%48
Explosiveness1.041371.2691
Rushing EPA per play+0.2933+0.03668
Passing EPA per play-0.057133+0.15270
Std downs success55.7%1144.7%52
Passing downs success28.3%9927.1%44

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate75.0%666.7%117
Turnovers per game1.00401.0088
Penalties per game5.4324.3134
Penalty yards per game47.73334.4136
3rd down conversion52.9%935.1%46
4th down tries per game2.57171.7177
4th down conversion83.3%266.7%107

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 7.3-4.7

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 5Wk 1Duquesne(FCS)W34-00.00+0.40-0.34
Sep 12Wk 286North Dakota StateL32-38-0.93+0.22+0.11
Sep 26Wk 4@119NevadaW36-33+0.04+0.26+0.14
Oct 3Wk 5101NavyW14-9+0.04-0.15-0.01
Oct 10Wk 6@136Northern IllinoisW28-7+0.01+0.37-0.12
Oct 17Wk 788UNLVW41-31+0.06+0.38+0.20
Oct 23Wk 8@121WyomingL14-28-0.96+0.07+0.38
Oct 31Wk 983UConn+2.544%+0.07——
Nov 7Wk 10@80Army+9.926%+0.16——
Nov 14Wk 11118San José State-6.265%+0.02——
Nov 20Wk 12135UTEP-16.185%+0.00——
Nov 28Wk 13@43New Mexico+18.212%+0.31——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
9Liam SzarkaFR58%19/3850.0%2967.814
5Evan MeddersFR21%8/1457.1%926.620
4Howard Fisher IVFR11%3/742.9%365.100

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
2Owen AllenFR20%883764.330
44Rocco ContiFR13%583666.323
28Gage LaDueFR9%422275.401

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
80Simon KibbeeTE FR12%813516.90
3Matt LongWR FR11%711015.72
10Adam HrynciwWR FR8%58917.81
8Jonah DawsonWR FR5%33913.00
19Grant WayneWR FR5%3217.01
29Sylas Maiava-AlaimaloWR FR3%23417.00

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
48Antonio MenardDE FR100.00.001
95Noah DanielsDL FR91.50.510
93Andrew TillettDL FR80.50.520
99Jayden OquendoDL FR80.00.001
97Bennett WilliamsDL FR40.00.000
90Muhammad AlcineDL FR31.01.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
6Blake FletcherLB FR732.51.012
8Dallas DaleyLB FR443.51.010
45Jaylin ReeseLB FR234.02.000
30Isaac HubertLB FR121.50.010
0Luke FisherLB FR40.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
2Korey JohnsonDB FR26410.5
36Max MustellDB FR25414.0
26Alexander PerezDB FR22101.0
5Roger Jones Jr.DB FR22200.0
23Cade PatersonDB FR14000.0
22Ehimen OyamendanDB FR6200.0
17Thomas YoungDB FR5110.5

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
90Carter CremascoliFR9/1090%5220/2147

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
94Will DuncanFR1546.16771