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Mountain West · 2026 · History

UNLV Rebels

4-3 (2-1 Mountain West)Last: L 31-41 at Air ForceNext: vs Northern Illinois

Dan Mullen · 2nd season · .667 at UNLV · .632 career since 2009

Rating
-4.688
Adj Off
22.595
Adj Def
27.272
WAP
-2.4090

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate54.3%3451.8%53
Plays per game67.96667.947
Time of possession29:557330:0566
Yards per pass attempt7.4766.754
Yards per rush4.4754.9116
Points per game24.19823.766
Points per opportunity3.241123.3055
Starting field positionOwn 2975Own 2742

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.07799+0.07067
Adj. EPA per play+0.05893+0.11472
Success rate37.9%12340.2%62
Explosiveness1.25621.2377
Rushing EPA per play+0.05095+0.147113
Passing EPA per play+0.19182+0.05231
Std downs success43.5%11745.6%66
Passing downs success26.9%11229.0%72

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate43.2%12667.9%124
Turnovers per game1.29741.2953
Penalties per game6.6707.631
Penalty yards per game65.610369.718
3rd down conversion41.3%6438.5%81
4th down tries per game2.00551.5792
4th down conversion42.9%10936.4%23

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 7.2-4.8

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Aug 29Wk 165MemphisL21-27-0.90+0.02+0.22
Sep 5Wk 1@107Hawai'iW21-6+0.07+0.07-0.08
Sep 12Wk 2@60North TexasL6-44-0.79-0.24+0.35
Sep 26Wk 4@132AkronW38-10+0.02+0.42-0.17
Oct 3Wk 592CaliforniaW39-31+0.05+0.16-0.05
Oct 10Wk 686North Dakota StateW13-7+0.07-0.03-0.13
Oct 17Wk 7@103Air ForceL31-41-0.93+0.20+0.38
Oct 31Wk 9136Northern Illinois-20.791%+0.00——
Nov 7Wk 10121Wyoming-11.677%+0.02——
Nov 14Wk 11@43New Mexico+13.819%+0.31——
Nov 21Wk 12@118San José State-4.662%+0.05——
Nov 28Wk 13119Nevada-11.376%+0.02——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
11Jackson ArnoldFR96%108/18259.3%13917.6102

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
9Jai'Den ThomasFR41%1125434.8319
0Jaylon GloverFR6%16895.603
24Darrien JonesFR5%13362.803

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
6Kayden McGeeWR FR8%1633020.64
2Tastean ReddicksWR FR8%1629218.32
84Keyan BurnettTE FR7%1313510.41
8Taeshaun LyonsWR FR6%1213411.20
81Vincent CarnerWR FR3%66210.30
10Troy StellatoWR FR3%66110.20

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
44Kal-El TogafauDL FR264.53.000
94Lucas ContiDL FR192.00.020
54Poe PurcellDL FR160.00.000
42Andre PorterDE FR125.03.013
16Mohamed AltayebDL FR90.00.010
9Landen ThomasDL FR80.00.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
23Cam SanteeLB FR531.50.001
8Kamuela Ka'aihueLB FR381.00.010
3Dee CraytonLB FR262.01.520
91Elias RudolphLB FR142.02.010
36Justin FloweLB FR111.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
7Jake PopeS FR63301.5
10Tre FultonDB FR51213.5
2Denver HarrisDB FR24403.0
1Mumu Bin-WahadDB FR19432.5
4Tony-Louis NkubaDB FR19101.0
5Quandarius KeyesDB FR9220.0
24Avery HelmDB FR8000.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
32Ramon VillelaFR6/875%3920/2038
39Ethan SchwartzFR1/1100%600/03

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
26Matthew ChoulesFR3042.364132
39Ethan SchwartzFR351.76021