Mountain West · 2026 · History
North Dakota State Bison
6-1 (3-1 Mountain West)Last: W 31-17 vs NevadaNext: at New Mexico
Tim Polasek · 1st season · .857 at North Dakota State · .857 career
- Rating
- -3.886
- Adj Off
- 21.1108
- Adj Def
- 24.856
- WAP
- -0.7237
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 59.8%12 | 54.8%25 |
| Plays per game | 65.786 | 59.1132 |
| Time of possession | 32:2527 | 27:35113 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.859 | 5.66 |
| Yards per rush | 4.385 | 3.331 |
| Points per game | 29.467 | 11.32 |
| Points per opportunity | 3.6385 | 1.741 |
| Starting field position | Own 3058 | Own 2859 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.12878 | -0.1413 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.013114 | +0.04840 |
| Success rate | 41.3%91 | 36.5%27 |
| Explosiveness | 1.2655 | 1.068 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.05392 | -0.13111 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.27848 | -0.1202 |
| Std downs success | 46.2%99 | 45.9%69 |
| Passing downs success | 30.6%78 | 18.8%2 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 63.6%57 | 30.8%2 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.8634 | 2.007 |
| Penalties per game | 7.397 | 6.758 |
| Penalty yards per game | 63.796 | 65.037 |
| 3rd down conversion | 41.3%65 | 35.9%53 |
| 4th down tries per game | 2.1448 | 1.43102 |
| 4th down conversion | 60.0%47 | 50.0%54 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 9.2-2.8
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29Wk 1 | 97  Jacksonville State | W33-7 | +0.04 | +0.16 | -0.38 |
| Sep 5Wk 1 | Fordham(FCS) | W38-0 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.46 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | @103  Air Force | W38-32 | +0.07 | +0.11 | +0.22 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | @138  Sacramento State | W31-10 | +0.01 | +0.09 | -0.14 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | 121  Wyoming | W28-0 | +0.02 | +0.21 | -0.30 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | @88  UNLV | L7-13 | -0.88 | -0.13 | -0.03 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | 119  Nevada | W31-17 | +0.02 | +0.16 | -0.06 |
| Oct 24Wk 8 | @43  New Mexico | +13.021% | +0.31 | — | — |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 135  UTEP | -21.391% | +0.00 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | @107  Hawai'i | -2.857% | +0.07 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | 136  Northern Illinois | -21.591% | +0.00 | — | — |
| Nov 27Wk 13 | @118  San José State | -5.464% | +0.05 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Nathan HayesFR | 96% | 106/163 | 65.0% | 1272 | 7.8 | 10 | 5 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5Myles MitchellFR | 28% | 81 | 354 | 4.4 | 3 | 5 |
| 7DJ ScottFR | 25% | 73 | 306 | 4.2 | 4 | 9 |
| 4Nyeoti PunniFR | 13% | 38 | 175 | 4.6 | 0 | 3 |
| 32Barry KpeenuFR | 7% | 19 | 61 | 3.2 | 0 | 1 |
| 26Brady WavrunekFR | 4% | 11 | 52 | 4.7 | 0 | 3 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18Jackson WilliamsWR FR | 17% | 28 | 432 | 15.4 | 1 |
| 81Reis KesselTE FR | 10% | 17 | 203 | 11.9 | 2 |
| 15Mekhi CollinsWR FR | 8% | 14 | 208 | 14.9 | 3 |
| 21Chris KielWR FR | 5% | 9 | 108 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 17Isiah St. RomainWR FR | 4% | 7 | 48 | 6.9 | 0 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8Keenan WilsonDT FR | 22 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 94Logan LarsonDT FR | 21 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 5 | 1 |
| 11Matthew StenbrotenDE FR | 20 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 0 |
| 9Kelton McCaslinDE FR | 16 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 95Zach VanderpoolDT FR | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 93Anthony OkesDE FR | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Donovan WoolenLB FR | 51 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 1 |
| 3Gavin SellLB FR | 36 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 25Ray James Jr.LB FR | 23 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
| 41Peder HaugoLB FR | 15 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 42Alex ElliottLB FR | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29Darius GivanceS FR | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 20Will SteilS FR | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 14Taylen EadyS FR | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 16Marion MooreCB FR | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0.0 |
| 6Jaylin CrumbyS FR | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 12DJ VoltzCB FR | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 34Deron RussellCB FR | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37Drew KleinFR | 10/12 | 83% | 56 | 22/23 | 52 |
| 38Jayden OnuongaFR | 0/1 | 0% | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39Aaron BickertonFR | 24 | 45.5 | 68 | 8 | 3 |