

Arkansas State Red Wolves
3-4 (1-2 Sun Belt)Last: W 23-13 at Southern MissNext: vs Georgia State
Butch Jones · 6th season · .414 at Arkansas State · .543 career since 2007
- Rating
- -8.099
- Adj Off
- 22.892
- Adj Def
- 30.7105
- WAP
- -3.22108
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 50.0%73 | 59.5%5 |
| Plays per game | 62.6116 | 63.497 |
| Time of possession | 31:0942 | 28:5195 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 8.141 | 7.8107 |
| Yards per rush | 4.098 | 5.1121 |
| Points per game | 27.481 | 26.697 |
| Points per opportunity | 3.9857 | 3.7190 |
| Starting field position | Own 3042 | Own 2988 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.16163 | +0.143103 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.08582 | +0.181108 |
| Success rate | 48.2%25 | 45.1%118 |
| Explosiveness | 1.13123 | 1.2165 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.13357 | +0.08088 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.23367 | +0.375126 |
| Std downs success | 54.2%18 | 50.3%116 |
| Passing downs success | 31.9%60 | 31.1%95 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 64.7%51 | 67.6%122 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.1456 | 1.5726 |
| Penalties per game | 5.017 | 6.670 |
| Penalty yards per game | 45.324 | 59.059 |
| 3rd down conversion | 45.1%34 | 45.9%128 |
| 4th down tries per game | 1.29111 | 2.0046 |
| 4th down conversion | 55.6%62 | 57.1%85 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 5.8-6.2
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | @65 | L24-42 | -0.81 | +0.09 | +0.43 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | West Georgia(FCS) | W52-7 | 0.00 | +0.45 | -0.10 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | @44 | L7-31 | -0.69 | -0.19 | +0.21 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 122 | W17-14 | +0.02 | +0.24 | +0.06 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | @75 | L20-23 | -0.83 | +0.17 | +0.30 |
| Oct 8Wk 6 | 96 | L49-56 | -0.95 | +0.27 | +0.31 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | @116 | W23-13 | +0.05 | +0.09 | -0.26 |
| Oct 24Wk 8 | 89 | 0.050% | +0.06 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | 137 | -18.688% | +0.00 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | @113 | -0.752% | +0.05 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | @70 | +10.326% | +0.18 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | 102 | -4.060% | +0.03 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9Trey OwensFR | 100% | 138/201 | 68.7% | 1631 | 8.1 | 9 | 6 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23Solomon BaggettFR | 26% | 61 | 287 | 4.7 | 2 | 8 |
| 5Kenyon ClayFR | 18% | 41 | 144 | 3.5 | 3 | 9 |
| 31Timothy CarterFR | 9% | 21 | 47 | 2.2 | 4 | 1 |
| 22Ezell JollyFR | 9% | 20 | 110 | 5.5 | 1 | 5 |
| 27James LeeFR | 8% | 19 | 135 | 7.1 | 0 | 2 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Hunter SummersWR FR | 15% | 31 | 422 | 13.6 | 3 |
| 2Chauncy CobbWR FR | 15% | 31 | 357 | 11.5 | 1 |
| 10Jaylen BonelliWR FR | 12% | 24 | 302 | 12.6 | 2 |
| 17Jabari BushTE FR | 4% | 9 | 120 | 13.3 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92Elias ShermanDT FR | 32 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4 | 0 |
| 54Ryan ReeseDT FR | 20 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 0 |
| 10Tony CarterDE FR | 17 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 98Shakai WoodsDT FR | 12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20TJ GrantDE FR | 11 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30Gavin TaylorDE FR | 7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9Kam MooreLB FR | 31 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23Robert StevensLB FR | 29 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 24Joshua OforLB FR | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16Joe DrewS FR | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 5Five HamiltonS FR | 40 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 |
| 6AG McGheeS FR | 39 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 |
| 4Makai ShahidS FR | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 0Dontrae HendersonCB FR | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 |
| 15Brandon GreilS FR | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 |
| 3Noah FloresCB FR | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34Clune Van AndelFR | 8/10 | 80% | 48 | 24/24 | 48 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90Danny VuckovicFR | 23 | 39.2 | 73 | 9 | 1 |