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Sun Belt · 2026 · History

Arkansas State Red Wolves

3-4 (1-2 Sun Belt)Last: W 23-13 at Southern MissNext: vs Georgia State

Butch Jones · 6th season · .414 at Arkansas State · .543 career since 2007

Rating
-8.099
Adj Off
22.892
Adj Def
30.7105
WAP
-3.22108

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate50.0%7359.5%5
Plays per game62.611663.497
Time of possession31:094228:5195
Yards per pass attempt8.1417.8107
Yards per rush4.0985.1121
Points per game27.48126.697
Points per opportunity3.98573.7190
Starting field positionOwn 3042Own 2988

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.16163+0.143103
Adj. EPA per play+0.08582+0.181108
Success rate48.2%2545.1%118
Explosiveness1.131231.2165
Rushing EPA per play+0.13357+0.08088
Passing EPA per play+0.23367+0.375126
Std downs success54.2%1850.3%116
Passing downs success31.9%6031.1%95

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate64.7%5167.6%122
Turnovers per game1.14561.5726
Penalties per game5.0176.670
Penalty yards per game45.32459.059
3rd down conversion45.1%3445.9%128
4th down tries per game1.291112.0046
4th down conversion55.6%6257.1%85

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 5.8-6.2

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 5Wk 1@65MemphisL24-42-0.81+0.09+0.43
Sep 12Wk 2West Georgia(FCS)W52-70.00+0.45-0.10
Sep 19Wk 3@44TCUL7-31-0.69-0.19+0.21
Sep 26Wk 4122Kennesaw StateW17-14+0.02+0.24+0.06
Oct 3Wk 5@75LouisianaL20-23-0.83+0.17+0.30
Oct 8Wk 696South AlabamaL49-56-0.95+0.27+0.31
Oct 17Wk 7@116Southern MissW23-13+0.05+0.09-0.26
Oct 24Wk 889Georgia State0.050%+0.06——
Nov 7Wk 10137UL Monroe-18.688%+0.00——
Nov 14Wk 11@113Coastal Carolina-0.752%+0.05——
Nov 21Wk 12@70Louisiana Tech+10.326%+0.18——
Nov 28Wk 13102Troy-4.060%+0.03——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
9Trey OwensFR100%138/20168.7%16318.196

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
23Solomon BaggettFR26%612874.728
5Kenyon ClayFR18%411443.539
31Timothy CarterFR9%21472.241
22Ezell JollyFR9%201105.515
27James LeeFR8%191357.102

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
3Hunter SummersWR FR15%3142213.63
2Chauncy CobbWR FR15%3135711.51
10Jaylen BonelliWR FR12%2430212.62
17Jabari BushTE FR4%912013.31

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
92Elias ShermanDT FR321.00.540
54Ryan ReeseDT FR202.51.540
10Tony CarterDE FR173.00.020
98Shakai WoodsDT FR121.00.000
20TJ GrantDE FR110.50.000
30Gavin TaylorDE FR71.00.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
9Kam MooreLB FR312.50.000
23Robert StevensLB FR293.51.011
24Joshua OforLB FR30.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
16Joe DrewS FR64300.0
5Five HamiltonS FR40111.0
6AG McGheeS FR39112.5
4Makai ShahidS FR26000.5
0Dontrae HendersonCB FR19221.0
15Brandon GreilS FR17011.0
3Noah FloresCB FR15301.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
34Clune Van AndelFR8/1080%4824/2448

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
90Danny VuckovicFR2339.27391