CFR
TCU logo

Big 12 · 2026 · History

TCU Horned Frogs

3-4 (1-3 Big 12)Last: L 20-24 vs West VirginiaNext: vs Kansas

Sonny Dykes · 5th season · .650 at TCU · .570 career since 2010

Rating
+5.944
Adj Off
24.583
Adj Def
18.616
WAP
-2.6698

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate45.3%11250.9%63
Plays per game69.45162.0115
Time of possession32:192827:37112
Yards per pass attempt8.6285.912
Yards per rush3.31313.119
Points per game23.410113.96
Points per opportunity3.061183.3966
Starting field positionOwn 3126Own 2626

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.09990-0.0878
Adj. EPA per play+0.09371-0.00915
Success rate43.4%6733.6%7
Explosiveness1.26521.0811
Rushing EPA per play-0.072130-0.1429
Passing EPA per play+0.26155-0.00919
Std downs success52.6%3139.3%12
Passing downs success24.8%12323.4%16

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate46.3%11847.8%36
Turnovers per game1.711181.2953
Penalties per game7.0875.0122
Penalty yards per game66.710640.4123
3rd down conversion43.8%4030.6%14
4th down tries per game2.00551.8664
4th down conversion50.0%8046.2%47

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 5.0-7.0

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Aug 29Wk 1N50North CarolinaL10-15-0.80-0.07-0.01
Sep 12Wk 2Grambling(FCS)W63-70.00+0.62-0.24
Sep 19Wk 399Arkansas StateW31-7+0.04+0.21-0.19
Sep 26Wk 4@52UCFL13-21-0.75-0.07-0.05
Oct 3Wk 511BYU#2L10-17-0.58-0.09-0.05
Oct 17Wk 7@39BaylorW17-6+0.34-0.03-0.17
Oct 24Wk 878West VirginiaL20-24-0.91+0.08+0.12
Oct 31Wk 951Kansas-5.363%+0.15——
Nov 6Wk 10@30Arizona#25+7.133%+0.41——
Nov 14Wk 1131Kansas State+0.349%+0.25——
Nov 21Wk 1212Utah#10+7.731%+0.42——
Nov 26Wk 13@17Texas Tech#8+10.924%+0.50——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
1Jaden CraigFR100%162/24067.5%20668.6116

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
26Jeremy PayneFR37%884294.9218
2Jon DenmanFR19%441483.422
24Joe PitchfordFR7%17633.712
23Amante MartinFR5%11514.612
27Landon WalkerFR4%10676.701

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
18Ed SmallWR FR16%3851413.52
81Kari AshleyTE FR15%3551014.64
7Jordan DwyerWR FR9%2136317.30
6Jeremy ScottWR FR6%1520313.51
80Jacobe HayesWR FR5%1319515.00
88Ka'Morreun PimptonTE FR5%1214211.84

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
92Ansel Din-MbuhDT FR285.54.000
95Markis DealDT FR90.50.501
90Kelten MickellDT FR42.00.000
35Tristan JohnsonDT FR40.00.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
37Hudson HooperLB FR412.00.020
3Max CarrollLB FR281.50.020
97Paul OyewaleLB FR211.01.000
11Michael ShortLB FR170.00.000
14John SchobelLB FR164.02.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
2Jamel JohnsonS FR40012.5
1Vernon GloverCB FR21211.0
22Jordan LesterS FR21300.0
4Gil JacksonCB FR19400.0
18Kaden McfaddenS FR16000.0
7Julius SimmsS FR16100.0
15Devyn HidrogoS FR15100.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
99Nate McCashlandFR7/1070%4519/1940
34Kyle LemmermannFR1/1100%311/14

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
48John Hoyet ChanceFR2643.066150