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Big 12 · 2026 · History

UCF Knights

3-3 (1-2 Big 12)Last: L 28-42 at Oklahoma StateNext: vs BYU

Scott Frost · 2nd season · .444 at UCF · .473 career since 2016

Rating
+3.152
Adj Off
27.659
Adj Def
24.552
WAP
-1.7171

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate50.3%7149.3%80
Plays per game61.712271.720
Time of possession27:5611632:0423
Yards per pass attempt6.81077.171
Yards per rush5.0403.224
Points per game31.74921.749
Points per opportunity4.9762.9227
Starting field positionOwn 3213Own 30109

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.12482+0.00234
Adj. EPA per play+0.09570+0.05642
Success rate41.3%8940.0%60
Explosiveness1.29401.1015
Rushing EPA per play+0.10568-0.09118
Passing EPA per play+0.16190+0.13363
Std downs success45.5%10746.6%76
Passing downs success32.2%5926.4%33

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate61.5%6761.9%101
Turnovers per game1.17661.8316
Penalties per game6.5657.821
Penalty yards per game50.74260.553
3rd down conversion35.6%10838.5%80
4th down tries per game2.17432.0046
4th down conversion46.2%9750.0%54

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 6.0-6.0

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 3Wk 1Bethune-Cookman(FCS)W73-60.00+0.49-0.16
Sep 12Wk 2@41PittsburghL7-12-0.67-0.25-0.04
Sep 19Wk 389Georgia StateW44-30+0.06+0.23+0.05
Sep 26Wk 444TCUW21-13+0.19-0.05-0.07
Oct 3Wk 5@19Houston#14L17-27-0.52+0.07+0.01
Oct 10Wk 6@59Oklahoma StateL28-42-0.77+0.18+0.22
Oct 24Wk 811BYU#2+10.525%+0.42——
Oct 30Wk 939Baylor+1.247%+0.21——
Nov 7Wk 10@51Kansas+3.541%+0.26——
Nov 14Wk 1171Arizona State-6.867%+0.10——
Nov 20Wk 1253Iowa State-3.158%+0.14——
Nov 28Wk 13@84Colorado-3.860%+0.13——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
12Keyone JenkinsFR69%83/11870.3%8066.883
14Alonza BarnettFR29%31/4963.3%3447.021

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
26Duke WatsonFR36%704836.936
4Taevion SwintFR16%321625.124
11Landen ChambersFR13%261395.332
20Kaj BakerFR3%6305.000

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
5Joshua DerryWR FR16%2830410.92
9Waden CharlesWR FR9%1619912.42
6Ric'Darious FarmerWR FR8%1314711.30
18Caden PieningTE FR7%1212610.52
2Tyren HornesWR FR6%1011111.11
0Dylan WadeTE FR5%8536.60

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
6Isaiah NixonEDGE FR224.02.530
92Jeffson LafontantDT FR185.52.040
10Sincere EdwardsEDGE FR153.01.021
0Horace LockettDT FR152.00.521
11Ken TalleyEDGE FR131.50.500
12Aymeric KoumbaEDGE FR102.51.520

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
24Tackett CurtisLB FR393.01.011
34Jahleel CulbreathLB FR301.50.500
20Lewis CarterLB FR240.50.000
38Jayden McDonaldLB FR131.00.000
19Rashad HenryLB FR80.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
8Demari HendersonDB FR30322.0
2Jayden WilliamsDB FR27110.0
21Ty BartrumDB FR18000.0
1Jayden BellamyDB FR16211.0
4Braeden MarshallDB FR16200.0
7Antoine JacksonDB FR13411.0
18Caleb FlaggDB FR13000.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
15Will StoneFR5/683%4025/2540

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
49Atticus BertramsFR2246.35954