Baylor Bears
4-3 (2-2 Big 12)Last: L 24-25 at KansasNext: at UCF
Dave Aranda · 7th season · .500 at Baylor · .500 career since 2020
- Rating
- +7.439
- Adj Off
- 27.857
- Adj Def
- 20.523
- WAP
- -1.9074
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 45.2%115 | 44.5%121 |
| Plays per game | 80.92 | 74.16 |
| Time of possession | 29:2584 | 30:3554 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 6.8108 | 6.437 |
| Yards per rush | 3.8110 | 2.911 |
| Points per game | 29.169 | 16.119 |
| Points per opportunity | 3.32106 | 2.397 |
| Starting field position | Own 338 | Own 2978 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.08894 | -0.0829 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.11460 | +0.00419 |
| Success rate | 37.6%125 | 34.9%17 |
| Explosiveness | 1.3910 | 1.1735 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.025105 | -0.13012 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.16889 | -0.03510 |
| Std downs success | 41.5%128 | 41.0%22 |
| Passing downs success | 30.7%75 | 24.2%18 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 50.0%108 | 37.5%11 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.57108 | 1.8614 |
| Penalties per game | 8.0118 | 6.670 |
| Penalty yards per game | 73.9123 | 61.052 |
| 3rd down conversion | 39.3%77 | 34.8%41 |
| 4th down tries per game | 3.005 | 2.4321 |
| 4th down conversion | 61.9%43 | 35.3%20 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 6.1-5.9
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | N32  Auburn | L16-17 | -0.69 | -0.01 | -0.04 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | Prairie View A&M(FCS) | W44-3 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.33 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | 70  Louisiana Tech | W36-19 | +0.10 | +0.21 | +0.01 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 84  Colorado | W23-13 | +0.07 | -0.07 | -0.15 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | @71  Arizona State | W55-19 | +0.18 | +0.41 | -0.07 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | 44  TCU | L6-17 | -0.81 | -0.17 | -0.03 |
| Oct 24Wk 8 | @51  Kansas | L24-25 | -0.74 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Oct 30Wk 9 | @52  UCF | -1.253% | +0.25 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | 53  Iowa State | -7.368% | +0.14 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | @11  BYU#2 | +12.222% | +0.57 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | 17  Texas Tech#8 | +3.441% | +0.35 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | @19  Houston#14 | +8.629% | +0.48 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2D.J. LagwayFR | 76% | 113/217 | 52.1% | 1352 | 6.2 | 9 | 4 |
| 12Nate BennettFR | 21% | 46/61 | 75.4% | 568 | 9.3 | 5 | 2 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35Dawson PendergrassFR | 34% | 93 | 332 | 3.6 | 2 | 6 |
| 11Caden KnightenFR | 25% | 67 | 303 | 4.5 | 2 | 5 |
| 23Michael TurnerFR | 14% | 37 | 161 | 4.4 | 0 | 7 |
| 25Ryelan MorrisFR | 13% | 34 | 213 | 6.3 | 1 | 5 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Gavin FreemanWR FR | 20% | 58 | 678 | 11.7 | 2 |
| 4Louis BrownWR FR | 8% | 22 | 345 | 15.7 | 3 |
| 15Jayden McGowanWR FR | 4% | 12 | 228 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 3Jadon PorterWR FR | 4% | 12 | 199 | 16.6 | 2 |
| 10Tony LivingstonTE FR | 4% | 10 | 107 | 10.7 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13Garrick PonderDE FR | 20 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 0 |
| 91Traevon MitchellDL FR | 14 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9Ryan DavisDE FR | 13 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 99Jamaal WhyceDL FR | 13 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 40Kyler JordanDE FR | 11 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| 96Kamren WashingtonDL FR | 9 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5Travion BarnesLB FR | 48 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10Kyland ReedLB FR | 33 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 36Kedrick WalkerLB FR | 24 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 41Kaleb BurnsLB FR | 21 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 56Kaleb ArterberryLB FR | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24Micah GiffordS FR | 36 | 0 | 3 | 3.0 |
| 7Devon JordanCB FR | 30 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 |
| 11Devin TurnerS FR | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 14Daniel CobbsS FR | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4.0 |
| 15Colby McCalisterS FR | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 17Tyler TurnerS FR | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 25Levar Thornton Jr.CB FR | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98Rhett ArmstrongFR | 13/18 | 72% | 54 | 21/22 | 60 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94Palmer WilliamsFR | 26 | 50.5 | 72 | 10 | 7 |