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American Athletic · 2026 · History

East Carolina Pirates

3-4 (1-2 American Athletic)Last: L 34-41 at MemphisNext: vs Temple

Blake Harrell · 3rd season · .654 at East Carolina · .654 career since 2024

Rating
-5.791
Adj Off
22.892
Adj Def
28.582
WAP
-2.90101

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate49.8%7655.4%21
Plays per game68.06372.017
Time of possession27:1412632:4513
Yards per pass attempt6.31247.272
Yards per rush4.3813.332
Points per game25.09226.395
Points per opportunity3.311073.3362
Starting field positionOwn 2881Own 2869

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.020119+0.01338
Adj. EPA per play+0.032106+0.08961
Success rate37.2%12836.3%26
Explosiveness1.24671.2688
Rushing EPA per play-0.020118+0.00749
Passing EPA per play+0.100109+0.06435
Std downs success44.2%11439.7%15
Passing downs success23.3%12830.9%91

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate43.2%12647.4%35
Turnovers per game1.861271.2953
Penalties per game6.3568.67
Penalty yards per game60.18666.130
3rd down conversion31.0%12732.7%29
4th down tries per game1.86661.00127
4th down conversion53.8%7157.1%85

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 5.9-6.1

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 5Wk 1@5Alabama#13L10-48-0.27-0.20+0.24
Sep 12Wk 295App StateL24-27-0.95+0.28+0.17
Sep 19Wk 3@110Old DominionW20-17+0.06-0.28-0.25
Sep 26Wk 4North Carolina Central(FCS)W42-90.00+0.32-0.30
Oct 10Wk 6124RiceW28-12+0.02-0.02-0.29
Oct 15Wk 7@112UABL17-30-0.94-0.20+0.10
Oct 22Wk 8@65MemphisL34-41-0.81+0.17+0.30
Oct 31Wk 9108Temple-7.368%+0.03——
Nov 6Wk 1073South Florida+1.845%+0.09——
Nov 14Wk 11@134Charlotte-13.080%+0.01——
Nov 21Wk 12@80Army+6.634%+0.16——
Nov 27Wk 13104Florida Atlantic-6.366%+0.03——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
9Emory WilliamsFR54%73/11762.4%7166.172
12Mitch GriffisFR45%52/9654.2%6236.544

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
4TJ EnglemanFR35%895826.548
3Ashton GrayFR22%552214.017
21Michael AllenFR13%341093.218

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
1Nathaniel JosephWR FR14%312859.23
11Jeremiah MelvinWR FR6%1318814.51
7Landon SidesWR FR6%1217414.51
8Ismael Smith FloresTE FR6%12867.20
24Jason DickersonWR FR5%1114913.51

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
5Kieran DavisDL FR228.02.011
9Kendrick DuJourDL FR165.02.000
0Jasiyah RobinsonDL FR144.02.540
44Preston CarrDL FR124.52.511
98Torin BrazellDL FR122.51.030
9J.D. LampleyDL FR113.01.001

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
11DJ Johnson Jr.LB FR514.50.500
10Crews LawLB FR445.00.000
42Julien DavisLB FR283.01.011
1Jackson BarkerLB FR232.00.000
20Cade LawLB FR160.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
4Kevon MerrellDB FR40203.5
8Kamaurri McKinleyDB FR32203.5
3Zyeir GambleDB FR32000.5
7Ashton Levells-MitchellDB FR22102.5
6DeMarius HinesDB FR21001.5
12Myles PollardDB FR16110.5
22Angelo RossDB FR13311.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
43Noah PerezFR9/1182%4920/2047

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
48Tomas O'HalloranFR2946.96091
83Elliot HuetherFR1048.26431