American Athletic · 2026 · History
South Florida Bulls
5-2 (1-2 American Athletic)Last: W 29-2 vs Kent StateNext: vs UAB
Brian Hartline · 1st season · .714 at South Florida · .714 career
- Rating
- -0.873
- Adj Off
- 23.088
- Adj Def
- 23.946
- WAP
- -1.5663
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 52.7%47 | 52.3%45 |
| Plays per game | 60.1127 | 65.971 |
| Time of possession | 28:10111 | 31:5028 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.092 | 6.542 |
| Yards per rush | 4.384 | 4.066 |
| Points per game | 26.686 | 15.111 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.1846 | 2.5910 |
| Starting field position | Own 3220 | Own 2618 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.14467 | +0.00636 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.06491 | +0.09364 |
| Success rate | 47.3%33 | 41.4%81 |
| Explosiveness | 1.10129 | 0.991 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.14153 | -0.07026 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.17586 | +0.10249 |
| Std downs success | 53.5%22 | 47.8%89 |
| Passing downs success | 33.8%43 | 28.2%60 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 58.3%81 | 50.0%45 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.579 | 1.0088 |
| Penalties per game | 5.124 | 6.381 |
| Penalty yards per game | 38.910 | 50.699 |
| 3rd down conversion | 40.3%72 | 36.7%60 |
| 4th down tries per game | 1.14119 | 2.4321 |
| 4th down conversion | 62.5%41 | 29.4%12 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 8.1-3.9
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | 109  Florida International | W19-9 | +0.03 | -0.06 | -0.12 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | @80  Army | W28-24 | +0.16 | +0.35 | +0.13 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | Delaware State(FCS) | W59-17 | 0.00 | +0.68 | +0.15 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | @131  Bowling Green | W14-6 | +0.02 | -0.12 | -0.21 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | 108  Temple | L13-17 | -0.97 | +0.01 | +0.06 |
| Oct 8Wk 6 | @63  UTSA | L24-31 | -0.80 | +0.15 | +0.31 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | 130  Kent State | W29-2 | +0.01 | -0.07 | -0.28 |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 112  UAB | -13.580% | +0.02 | — | — |
| Nov 6Wk 10 | @91  East Carolina | -1.855% | +0.11 | — | — |
| Nov 12Wk 11 | 65  Memphis | -2.155% | +0.10 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | @104  Florida Atlantic | -5.263% | +0.07 | — | — |
| Nov 27Wk 13 | 77  Tulane | -3.859% | +0.09 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Michael Van Buren Jr.FR | 98% | 115/179 | 64.3% | 1266 | 7.1 | 6 | 0 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D.J. CrowtherFR | 45% | 105 | 518 | 4.9 | 7 | 8 |
| 2Jason Collins Jr.FR | 20% | 47 | 229 | 4.9 | 1 | 6 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bryson RodgersWR FR | 16% | 30 | 334 | 11.1 | 2 |
| 80Joshua PorterWR FR | 13% | 23 | 274 | 11.9 | 2 |
| 0Cameron SeldonWR FR | 7% | 12 | 176 | 14.7 | 1 |
| 4Arhmad BranchWR FR | 6% | 11 | 108 | 9.8 | 0 |
| 6Mudia ReubenWR FR | 5% | 9 | 121 | 13.4 | 0 |
| 8Wyatt SullivanTE FR | 5% | 9 | 84 | 9.3 | 0 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1C.J. HicksDE FR | 21 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 4Michael Williams IIDE FR | 20 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 5 | 0 |
| 28Ryan JenkinsDT FR | 17 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11Asani RedwoodDT FR | 14 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 77Major DillardDT FR | 9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 18Levi SmileyDE FR | 7 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25Zavier HamiltonLB FR | 35 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7Sam RobinsonLB FR | 30 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0Grayson HowardLB FR | 22 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33Ashton MosleyLB FR | 19 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6Rodney HillLB FR | 17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5Ayden JacksonDB FR | 38 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 2Tavin WardS FR | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 |
| 8Amarion FortenberryCB FR | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 9Israel BoyceS FR | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 15Tayvion BeasleyDB FR | 21 | 1 | 1 | 3.5 |
| 16Teddy FosterCB FR | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 31Jair MurphyCB FR | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Nico GramaticaFR | 10/13 | 77% | 53 | 22/22 | 52 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39Luke GoaterFR | 24 | 45.5 | 59 | 12 | 2 |