Mississippi State Bulldogs
4-2 (2-2 SEC)Last: L 0-31 at LSUNext: vs Oklahoma
Jeff Lebby · 3rd season · .355 at Mississippi State · .355 career since 2024
- Rating
- +8.035
- Adj Off
- 32.223
- Adj Def
- 24.249
- WAP
- +0.2819
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 50.1%72 | 43.0%126 |
| Plays per game | 71.527 | 71.028 |
| Time of possession | 28:01113 | 31:5925 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 8.529 | 7.381 |
| Yards per rush | 4.657 | 3.536 |
| Points per game | 32.546 | 28.5110 |
| Points per opportunity | 3.9360 | 4.11116 |
| Starting field position | Own 2972 | Own 2985 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.19943 | +0.12394 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.19224 | +0.08154 |
| Success rate | 47.8%30 | 44.8%116 |
| Explosiveness | 1.2469 | 1.0913 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.17040 | +0.01052 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.31339 | +0.23791 |
| Std downs success | 52.3%35 | 51.1%123 |
| Passing downs success | 36.8%21 | 27.8%56 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 67.6%40 | 60.0%93 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.3381 | 0.83118 |
| Penalties per game | 7.8111 | 7.821 |
| Penalty yards per game | 70.7118 | 75.56 |
| 3rd down conversion | 46.2%30 | 40.0%92 |
| 4th down tries per game | 2.0055 | 2.0046 |
| 4th down conversion | 50.0%80 | 66.7%107 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 7.0-5.0
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | 137  UL Monroe | W62-13 | +0.00 | +0.64 | -0.08 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | @54  Minnesota | W38-13 | +0.25 | +0.44 | -0.12 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | @22  South Carolina | W41-34 | +0.46 | +0.27 | +0.12 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 23  Missouri#22 | W31-24 | +0.31 | +0.17 | +0.12 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | 5  Alabama#13 | L23-56 | -0.41 | -0.16 | +0.45 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | @8  LSU#18 | L0-31 | -0.33 | -0.20 | +0.27 |
| Oct 24Wk 8 | 18  Oklahoma | +2.843% | +0.35 | — | — |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | @6  Texas#19 | +17.314% | +0.71 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | 61  Vanderbilt | -9.973% | +0.12 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | 32  Auburn | -2.155% | +0.24 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | Tennessee Tech(FCS) | -46.0100% | 0.00 | — | — |
| Nov 27Wk 13 | @10  Ole Miss#7 | +13.719% | +0.62 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kamario TaylorFR | 79% | 102/154 | 66.2% | 1450 | 9.4 | 17 | 4 |
| 15Parker PuckettFR | 21% | 24/40 | 60.0% | 210 | 5.3 | 0 | 1 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24Fluff BothwellFR | 32% | 74 | 403 | 5.4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6Kolin WilsonFR | 21% | 49 | 202 | 4.1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5Xavier GaytenFR | 10% | 24 | 87 | 3.6 | 1 | 0 |
| 21J.J. HillFR | 7% | 15 | 147 | 9.8 | 2 | 0 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Anthony Evans IIIWR FR | 24% | 47 | 614 | 13.1 | 5 |
| 13Sanfrisco MageeWR FR | 10% | 19 | 295 | 15.5 | 5 |
| 2Marquis JohnsonWR FR | 8% | 16 | 244 | 15.3 | 2 |
| 7Zion RaginsWR FR | 6% | 12 | 188 | 15.7 | 4 |
| 87Sam WestTE FR | 4% | 7 | 58 | 8.3 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4Amaree WilliamsEDGE FR | 29 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 3 |
| 9Jaray BledsoeDL FR | 17 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 42Darron Reed Jr.DL FR | 17 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 43Will WhitsonDL FR | 15 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 35Kalvin DinkinsDL FR | 11 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 97Jayson JenkinsDL FR | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11Tyler LockhartLB FR | 38 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10Jalen SmithLB FR | 28 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 0Fred ClarkLB FR | 20 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| 13LaKendrick JamesLB FR | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 32AJ RiceLB FR | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20Amarien JeffersonCB FR | 33 | 8 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 15Marcus WilliamsS FR | 29 | 2 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 5Jardin GilbertS FR | 29 | 1 | 0 | 2.0 |
| 3Kendel DolbyS FR | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 1Kelley JonesCB FR | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 2Isaac SmithS FR | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 6Bralan WomackS FR | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80Kyle FerrieFR | 7/8 | 88% | 52 | 24/24 | 45 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8Ethan PulliamFR | 18 | 41.7 | 62 | 5 | 2 |