CFR
Ole Miss logo

SEC · 2026 · History

Ole Miss Rebels

5-1 (3-1 SEC)7th APLast: W 31-3 vs MissouriNext: at Texas

Pete Golding · 2nd season · .778 at Ole Miss · .778 career since 2025

Rating
+18.810
Adj Off
37.56
Adj Def
18.817
WAP
+0.917

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate44.0%12252.0%47
Plays per game69.74870.234
Time of possession26:5713033:038
Yards per pass attempt8.0487.590
Yards per rush4.9464.068
Points per game37.51723.868
Points per opportunity4.86113.3763
Starting field positionOwn 27112Own 3097

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.28216+0.12293
Adj. EPA per play+0.2826+0.02927
Success rate51.9%342.8%98
Explosiveness1.151111.2272
Rushing EPA per play+0.23312+0.06981
Passing EPA per play+0.43318+0.23289
Std downs success57.0%348.4%101
Passing downs success38.0%1630.6%86

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate77.1%250.0%45
Turnovers per game1.33811.1767
Penalties per game7.81118.212
Penalty yards per game63.89765.735
3rd down conversion47.9%2244.0%119
4th down tries per game0.831321.6784
4th down conversion60.0%4730.0%14

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 8.9-3.1

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 6Wk 1N28LouisvilleW41-38+0.34+0.23+0.28
Sep 12Wk 2134CharlotteW41-9+0.00+0.34-0.02
Sep 19Wk 38LSU#18W32-24+0.52+0.31+0.23
Sep 26Wk 4@15Florida#20L28-52-0.48+0.13+0.36
Oct 10Wk 6@61VanderbiltW52-17+0.21+0.33-0.11
Oct 17Wk 723Missouri#22W31-3+0.31+0.36-0.03
Oct 24Wk 8@6Texas#19+6.634%+0.71——
Oct 31Wk 932Auburn-12.979%+0.24——
Nov 7Wk 103Georgia#5+3.442%+0.63——
Nov 14Wk 11@18Oklahoma-2.055%+0.50——
Nov 21Wk 12Wofford(FCS)-56.8100%0.00——
Nov 27Wk 1335Mississippi State-13.781%+0.23——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
6Trinidad ChamblissFR96%142/21067.6%16768.0144
2Deuce KnightFR4%4/850.0%688.501

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
5Kewan LacyFR33%623525.759
25Makhi FrazierFR24%452545.602
26JT LindseyFR13%25863.402

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
1Deuce AlexanderWR FR16%3552314.95
4Caleb OdomTE FR10%2126712.72
7Traylon RayWR FR9%2027613.81
11Horatio FieldsWR FR9%1923312.32
3Caleb CunninghamWR FR6%1317613.51
9Luke HaszTE FR4%9535.90
0Johntay Cook IIWR FR4%8749.31

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
3Blake PurchaseDE FR236.53.521
52William EcholesDT FR184.52.022
5Kamarion FranklinDE FR143.01.011
17Jonathan MaldonadoDE FR102.00.011
96Jamarious BrownDT FR101.00.000
88Michai BoireauDT FR91.00.001

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
12Luke FerrelliLB FR372.52.010
11Keaton ThomasLB FR352.00.010
49Tah'j ButlerLB FR332.00.010
4Suntarine PerkinsLB FR203.01.510
23Jarcoby HopsonLB FR30.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
7Sharif DensonS FR29102.0
2Jaylon BraxtonCB FR23411.0
8Antonio KiteCB FR19110.0
6Joenel AgueroS FR18100.0
14Edwin JosephS FR18200.0
0Jay CrawfordCB FR14100.5
31Ladarian ClardyS FR9100.5

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
17Lucas CarneiroFR9/1182%5726/2653

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
33Oscar BirdFR1846.86061