CFR

Coaches Hot Seat

For every head coach, the chance he is not the school's head coach next season, from how coaches in the same spot have fared since 1988: tenure, this season's record, the program's expectations and the trend. How it works

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

RkCoach
1Mike Locksley82-53.6-8.440-52.430 vs .415—4-8-0.251%Scorching
2Greg Schiano72-53.4-8.634-50.410 vs .404—5-7-0.747%Hot
3Mike Norvell73-45.9-6.144-40.523 vs .703—5-7-0.344%Hot
4Joe Moorhead51-72.3-9.715-45.255 vs .341—5-7-0.638%Hot
5Dave Doeren143-45.7-6.3101-76.569 vs .511—8-5-0.835%Hot
6Ricky Rahne62-54.1-7.934-41.455 vs .435—10-3-1.931%Hot
7Bryant Vincent30-61.1-10.99-27.253 vs .313—3-9-0.329%Hot
8Clark Lea63-44.0-8.030-44.405 vs .425—10-3-1.729%Hot
9Dave Aranda74-36.1-5.942-43.495 vs .627—5-7+0.629%Hot
10Scotty Walden31-62.3-9.77-29.203 vs .323—2-10-0.427%Hot

2026 season to date, through week 8. This season counts as its projected final record, so a 4-2 start on a 7-5 pace is scored as 7-5. The number covers any reason a coach is not back, a firing, a resignation or a retirement, but not leaving for another FBS job.