NC State Wolfpack
3-4 (1-3 ACC)Last: L 28-31 at StanfordNext: vs California
Dave Doeren · 14th season · .570 at NC State · .608 career since 2011
- Rating
- +2.955
- Adj Off
- 29.941
- Adj Def
- 27.071
- WAP
- -2.85100
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 48.4%86 | 47.7%93 |
| Plays per game | 70.934 | 62.9104 |
| Time of possession | 32:2825 | 27:32114 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.762 | 8.0118 |
| Yards per rush | 4.469 | 4.595 |
| Points per game | 32.347 | 28.1107 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.3635 | 4.02109 |
| Starting field position | Own 2890 | Own 2740 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.20839 | +0.187117 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.15543 | +0.13081 |
| Success rate | 46.2%41 | 42.5%95 |
| Explosiveness | 1.2470 | 1.33117 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.10271 | +0.06277 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.33933 | +0.377128 |
| Std downs success | 50.3%53 | 47.7%87 |
| Passing downs success | 37.5%17 | 30.9%90 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 67.4%41 | 67.6%122 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.2974 | 1.1475 |
| Penalties per game | 5.432 | 6.187 |
| Penalty yards per game | 48.637 | 54.074 |
| 3rd down conversion | 52.5%10 | 35.2%47 |
| 4th down tries per game | 1.7180 | 2.2929 |
| 4th down conversion | 58.3%57 | 68.8%114 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 5.7-6.3
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29Wk 1 | @58  Virginia | L8-34 | -0.77 | -0.31 | +0.27 |
| Sep 11Wk 2 | Richmond(FCS) | W73-0 | 0.00 | +0.76 | -0.38 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | @61  Vanderbilt | L31-35 | -0.79 | +0.03 | +0.40 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 95  App State | W41-31 | +0.05 | +0.27 | +0.09 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | 28  Louisville | W31-28 | +0.28 | +0.26 | +0.23 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | 24  Wake Forest#17 | L14-38 | -0.69 | -0.05 | +0.22 |
| Oct 23Wk 8 | @106  Stanford | L28-31 | -0.93 | +0.33 | +0.34 |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 92  California | -11.877% | +0.05 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | 47  Duke | -1.153% | +0.17 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | 72  Syracuse | -6.767% | +0.10 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | @37  Florida State | +7.532% | +0.34 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | @50  North Carolina | +3.940% | +0.26 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11CJ BaileyFR | 94% | 143/219 | 65.3% | 1763 | 8.1 | 11 | 4 |
| 10Will WilsonFR | 5% | 9/12 | 75.0% | 35 | 2.9 | 2 | 0 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Davion GauseFR | 27% | 68 | 248 | 3.6 | 1 | 20 |
| 1Jayden ScottFR | 24% | 62 | 358 | 5.8 | 4 | 3 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8Keenan JacksonWR FR | 13% | 30 | 456 | 15.2 | 6 |
| 19Preston DouglasTE FR | 11% | 25 | 299 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 2Joshisa TraderWR FR | 7% | 16 | 221 | 13.8 | 0 |
| 0Victor SnowWR FR | 6% | 15 | 127 | 8.5 | 0 |
| 13Tyran WarrenWR FR | 3% | 8 | 119 | 14.9 | 1 |
| 82Chance RobinsonWR FR | 3% | 8 | 92 | 11.5 | 1 |
| 86Hunter ProvienceTE FR | 3% | 8 | 74 | 9.3 | 2 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88Isaiah ShirleyDT FR | 15 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| 55Katron EvansDL FR | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0 |
| 92Chase BondDE FR | 9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 0 |
| 90Josiah VictorDL FR | 9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 99AJ PrimDL FR | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 47Adrian FarrowDL FR | 7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0Raul Aguirre Jr.LB FR | 61 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5Harvey Dyson IIILB FR | 16 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 0 |
| 58Elijah SatchellLB FR | 14 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 33Ziggy MooreLB FR | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 35LaCorian HodgeLB FR | 10 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Brian Nelson IICB FR | 31 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 2Ronnie Royal IIIS FR | 29 | 3 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 22Jackson VickCB FR | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 4King MackS FR | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 29Brody BarnhardtS FR | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 |
| 14Jaren SensabaughCB FR | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0.0 |
| 3Tristan TeasdellS FR | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94Kanoah VinesettFR | 7/7 | 100% | 46 | 27/27 | 48 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96Jackson WallerFR | 26 | 42.0 | 58 | 10 | 1 |