Duke Blue Devils
5-2 (2-2 ACC)Last: W 19-16 at VirginiaNext: vs Boston College
Manny Diaz · 3rd season · .676 at Duke · .629 career since 2019
- Rating
- +4.847
- Adj Off
- 27.361
- Adj Def
- 22.536
- WAP
- -1.0444
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 51.8%55 | 48.3%90 |
| Plays per game | 68.757 | 62.4110 |
| Time of possession | 31:3437 | 28:26102 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.573 | 6.756 |
| Yards per rush | 5.324 | 3.330 |
| Points per game | 29.964 | 16.017 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.2144 | 3.0934 |
| Starting field position | Own 3135 | Own 2513 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.23429 | +0.01137 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.14648 | +0.06949 |
| Success rate | 42.8%76 | 38.0%43 |
| Explosiveness | 1.3320 | 1.1530 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.15248 | -0.08621 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.34032 | +0.13262 |
| Std downs success | 46.3%97 | 46.3%73 |
| Passing downs success | 35.3%29 | 20.6%5 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 58.1%83 | 50.0%45 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.579 | 1.0088 |
| Penalties per game | 7.4104 | 7.726 |
| Penalty yards per game | 70.0114 | 69.319 |
| 3rd down conversion | 43.8%40 | 29.2%8 |
| 4th down tries per game | 2.0055 | 2.2929 |
| 4th down conversion | 57.1%59 | 37.5%27 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 7.2-4.8
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | 77  Tulane | W17-3 | +0.09 | -0.13 | -0.13 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | @48  Illinois | W31-27 | +0.28 | +0.40 | +0.06 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | 106  Stanford | W35-7 | +0.03 | +0.40 | -0.13 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | William & Mary(FCS) | W62-7 | 0.00 | +0.56 | -0.08 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | @75  Georgia Tech | L25-28 | -0.83 | +0.27 | +0.32 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | 50  North Carolina | L20-24 | -0.84 | +0.08 | +0.12 |
| Oct 23Wk 8 | @58  Virginia | W19-16 | +0.23 | +0.06 | -0.08 |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 87  Boston College | -12.378% | +0.06 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | @55  NC State | +1.147% | +0.24 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | @4  Miami#1 | +23.17% | +0.76 | — | — |
| Nov 20Wk 12 | 45  Clemson | -2.556% | +0.18 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | @24  Wake Forest#17 | +10.026% | +0.45 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Walker EgetFR | 89% | 122/197 | 61.9% | 1440 | 7.3 | 8 | 3 |
| 10Dan MahanFR | 7% | 8/15 | 53.3% | 143 | 9.5 | 3 | 0 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20Nate SheppardFR | 61% | 153 | 875 | 5.7 | 9 | 30 |
| 0CJ CampbellFR | 21% | 52 | 258 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 |
| 22Jayvian TanelusFR | 6% | 16 | 90 | 5.6 | 2 | 0 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85Jeremiah HasleyTE FR | 9% | 21 | 250 | 11.9 | 0 |
| 6Jonah BurtonWR FR | 9% | 20 | 289 | 14.4 | 1 |
| 17Jared RichardsonWR FR | 7% | 16 | 213 | 13.3 | 2 |
| 4Jaivon SolomonWR FR | 5% | 10 | 176 | 17.6 | 1 |
| 8Jayden MooreWR FR | 3% | 7 | 111 | 15.9 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Tyshon ReedDE FR | 22 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 1 |
| 95Preston WatsonDT FR | 21 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12Bryce DavisDE FR | 19 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 2 |
| 18Kobe SmithDE FR | 12 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 91Owen WafleDT FR | 12 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 55Julius ColumbusDT FR | 11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Nick Morris Jr.LB FR | 44 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 34Luke MergottLB FR | 32 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 42Kendall JohnsonLB FR | 21 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 24Bradley GompersLB FR | 15 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 30Will Felder Jr.LB FR | 10 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8DaShawn StoneS FR | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 35Andrew PellicciottaS FR | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 0Dylan FlowersCB FR | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 1Kyon LoudCB FR | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 2Patrick SmithS FR | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 9Che OjarikreCB FR | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| 5Kimari RobinsonCB FR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39Cosme SalasFR | 4/5 | 80% | 39 | 16/16 | 28 |
| 25Gavin StrangeFR | 5/6 | 83% | 39 | 8/9 | 23 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41Kade ReynoldsonFR | 26 | 45.9 | 62 | 10 | 3 |