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Big Ten · 2026 · History

Illinois Fighting Illini

4-3 (2-2 Big Ten)Last: W 21-10 vs OregonNext: at Maryland

Bret Bielema · 6th season · .586 at Illinois · .613 career since 2006

Rating
+4.648
Adj Off
29.941
Adj Def
25.361
WAP
-1.1848

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate47.4%9749.5%78
Plays per game63.311266.462
Time of possession28:5010031:1038
Yards per pass attempt7.6657.799
Yards per rush5.2284.071
Points per game30.36025.379
Points per opportunity3.78753.6384
Starting field positionOwn 2894Own 2985

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.21137+0.232124
Adj. EPA per play+0.19025+0.190111
Success rate48.3%2345.6%120
Explosiveness1.26531.2689
Rushing EPA per play+0.16444+0.128107
Passing EPA per play+0.28845+0.325116
Std downs success53.3%2349.1%107
Passing downs success36.1%2536.4%126

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate63.2%6160.0%93
Turnovers per game0.71230.57131
Penalties per game4.387.631
Penalty yards per game37.9962.445
3rd down conversion45.8%3141.8%105
4th down tries per game1.71802.1437
4th down conversion41.7%11573.3%120

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 5.9-6.1

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 3Wk 1112UABW42-23+0.02+0.46+0.14
Sep 12Wk 247DukeL27-31-0.83+0.06+0.40
Sep 19Wk 3Southern Illinois(FCS)W48-100.00+0.45-0.24
Sep 26Wk 4@1Ohio State#3L19-42-0.16+0.26+0.52
Oct 3Wk 567PurdueL17-24-0.90+0.09+0.30
Oct 10Wk 6@66Michigan StateW38-37+0.19+0.20+0.46
Oct 24Wk 89OregonW21-10+0.50+0.06+0.16
Oct 31Wk 9@79Maryland-3.458%+0.16——
Nov 6Wk 1026Nebraska+3.840%+0.30——
Nov 13Wk 11@21UCLA#9+11.024%+0.47——
Nov 21Wk 1220Iowa#15+5.237%+0.33——
Nov 28Wk 13@27Northwestern#24+9.328%+0.43——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
4Katin HouserFR86%122/18466.3%14407.8124
7Michael Clayton IIFR12%17/2665.4%1726.640

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
21Aidan LaugheryFR34%755146.928
5Ca'Lil ValentineFR23%502254.513
23Jordan AndersonFR13%291304.521
24Javari BarnettFR9%191035.410

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
17Collin DixonWR FR25%5367312.710
13Hudson ClementWR FR13%2740415.01
11Brayden TrimbleWR FR9%201778.80
10Ty RobinsonWR FR6%1216413.73

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
43Joe BarnaDL FR192.50.520
24William HolmesDL FR172.01.041
52Pat FarrellDL FR151.01.001
90Carter JankiDL FR141.50.031
96Darrell PraterDL FR121.00.500
54Demetrius JohnDL FR90.00.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
26Ismael KanteLB FR443.50.001
10James KreutzLB FR433.51.010
40Ean RheaLB FR133.02.000
33Grant BeermanLB FR131.00.010
18Mason MuraginLB FR100.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
7Matthew BaileyDB FR49112.0
6Jaheim ClarkeDB FR36701.0
0Mac ResetichDB FR27200.0
1Xavier ScottDB FR24300.5
16Tanner HeckelDB FR20102.0
32Tywan CoxDB FR12100.0
5Jakwon MorrisDB FR12100.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
37Ethan MoczulskiFR10/1283%5424/2454

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
81Lars RauFR1843.35581