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Big Ten · 2026 · History

Michigan State Spartans

2-5 (0-4 Big Ten)Last: L 21-24 vs NorthwesternNext: at UCLA

Pat Fitzgerald · 1st season · .286 at Michigan State · .514 career since 2006

Rating
-0.266
Adj Off
24.682
Adj Def
24.856
WAP
-2.99106

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate51.9%5453.3%38
Plays per game65.09463.398
Time of possession29:577230:0367
Yards per pass attempt6.81067.797
Yards per rush3.31284.069
Points per game21.311225.483
Points per opportunity3.46993.7493
Starting field positionOwn 3217Own 2869

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.018120+0.189118
Adj. EPA per play+0.06789+0.12578
Success rate43.7%6442.9%99
Explosiveness1.061361.30105
Rushing EPA per play-0.002114+0.07685
Passing EPA per play+0.082113+0.274106
Std downs success47.5%8647.9%92
Passing downs success32.5%5833.8%117

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate60.7%7060.0%93
Turnovers per game1.14560.43137
Penalties per game4.034.6128
Penalty yards per game36.3734.7134
3rd down conversion40.2%7342.0%108
4th down tries per game2.57171.5792
4th down conversion55.6%6245.5%44

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 3.3-8.7

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 4Wk 162ToledoW30-20+0.12+0.01+0.10
Sep 12Wk 2123Eastern MichiganW35-7+0.02+0.30+0.04
Sep 19Wk 3@2Notre Dame#4L10-27-0.20-0.10+0.18
Sep 26Wk 426NebraskaL13-31-0.70-0.15+0.24
Oct 3Wk 5@42WisconsinL3-31-0.68-0.33+0.26
Oct 10Wk 648IllinoisL37-38-0.83+0.46+0.20
Oct 17Wk 727Northwestern#24L21-24-0.71+0.02+0.23
Oct 24Wk 8@21UCLA#9+15.816%+0.47——
Nov 7Wk 10@24Michigan+15.017%+0.45——
Nov 14Wk 1138Washington+4.639%+0.22——
Nov 20Wk 129Oregon+16.914%+0.50——
Nov 28Wk 13@81Rutgers+0.549%+0.15——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
11Alessio MilivojevicFR94%121/18565.4%12636.873
2Cam FancherFR6%8/1172.7%595.401

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
4Jaziun PattersonFR30%763274.357
0Camryn EdwardsFR25%643044.834
21Marvis ParrishFR13%33962.906
7Brandon TullisFR4%10494.901

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
31Jayden SavouryTE FR14%272619.70
13Chrishon MccrayWR FR13%262479.51
3Rodney Bullard Jr.WR FR11%2125312.01
6Fredrick MooreWR FR10%1920710.92

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
55Ben RobertsDL FR265.02.020
1Kenny Soares Jr.EDGE FR223.01.042
96Eli CoenenDL FR164.53.542
9Keahnist ThompsonEDGE FR152.51.030
11Anelu LafaeleEDGE FR112.52.520
13Isaac SmithEDGE FR101.01.020

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
18Dion CrawfordLB FR411.50.020
12Cam StodghillLB FR281.50.030
5Jordan HallLB FR253.00.000
45Brady PretzlaffLB FR250.00.000
44Caleb WheatlandLB FR190.50.010

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
2Devin VaughtS FR46011.0
21Nikai MartinezDB FR30201.0
4Charles BrantleyCB FR20100.0
7Michael Richard Jr.S FR18102.0
3Tre BellCB FR16202.5
0NiJhay BurtCB FR9000.0
22Tyran ChappellCB FR8100.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
37Liam BoydFR10/1377%5115/1545

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
9Rhys DakinFR1751.07475