Mid-American · 2026 · History
Toledo Rockets
6-2 (3-1 Mid-American)Last: W 45-38 vs Western MichiganNext: at Sacramento State
Mike Jacobs · 1st season · .750 at Toledo · .750 career
- Rating
- +1.162
- Adj Off
- 29.843
- Adj Def
- 28.783
- WAP
- -1.5764
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 51.7%56 | 47.6%94 |
| Plays per game | 71.825 | 70.631 |
| Time of possession | 29:2983 | 30:2756 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 8.724 | 6.014 |
| Yards per rush | 5.041 | 3.540 |
| Points per game | 37.419 | 25.481 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.0554 | 3.1841 |
| Starting field position | Own 3122 | Own 2993 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.23032 | -0.02823 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.12357 | +0.06648 |
| Success rate | 44.6%55 | 32.9%5 |
| Explosiveness | 1.3417 | 1.39128 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.08180 | -0.07824 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.39422 | +0.11153 |
| Std downs success | 50.5%50 | 37.2%5 |
| Passing downs success | 30.6%77 | 24.7%21 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 66.7%45 | 50.0%45 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.2571 | 1.3845 |
| Penalties per game | 8.5127 | 4.6127 |
| Penalty yards per game | 74.0124 | 35.0133 |
| 3rd down conversion | 44.2%37 | 35.0%45 |
| 4th down tries per game | 2.3826 | 2.2533 |
| 4th down conversion | 36.8%119 | 61.1%100 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 9.3-2.7
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4Wk 1 | @66  Michigan State | L20-30 | -0.81 | +0.10 | +0.01 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | Central Connecticut(FCS) | W63-10 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.32 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | 108  Temple | W49-48 | +0.03 | +0.38 | +0.33 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 93  San Diego State | W41-16 | +0.05 | +0.20 | -0.17 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | @133  Ball State | W39-24 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.05 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | 125  Buffalo | L8-23 | -0.99 | +0.09 | +0.08 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | @123  Eastern Michigan | W34-14 | +0.04 | +0.23 | -0.23 |
| Oct 24Wk 8 | 74  Western Michigan | W45-38 | +0.09 | +0.24 | -0.03 |
| Nov 4Wk 10 | @138  Sacramento State | -22.292% | +0.01 | — | — |
| Nov 11Wk 11 | 129  Massachusetts | -20.791% | +0.01 | — | — |
| Nov 20Wk 12 | 131  Bowling Green | -22.092% | +0.01 | — | — |
| Nov 27Wk 13 | @82  Ohio | -1.053% | +0.14 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6John Alan RichterFR | 97% | 173/259 | 66.8% | 2244 | 8.7 | 17 | 2 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22CJ MillerFR | 36% | 109 | 609 | 5.6 | 7 | 9 |
| 8Connor WalendzakFR | 24% | 73 | 424 | 5.8 | 7 | 12 |
| 4Autavius IsonFR | 22% | 67 | 323 | 4.8 | 3 | 2 |
| 23Noah SandersFR | 3% | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 0 | 1 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Adjatay DabbsWR FR | 15% | 40 | 592 | 14.8 | 7 |
| 12Bryson HammerWR FR | 11% | 28 | 494 | 17.6 | 2 |
| 5Terrell Crosby Jr.WR FR | 8% | 22 | 229 | 10.4 | 0 |
| 43Sam LeeTE FR | 7% | 19 | 222 | 11.7 | 0 |
| 19Daryl Barnett Jr.WR FR | 6% | 17 | 220 | 12.9 | 3 |
| 1Rico BondWR FR | 5% | 12 | 191 | 15.9 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0Andrew ZockDE FR | 46 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 17 | 0 |
| 90Zach JohnsonDE FR | 24 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 5 | 0 |
| 96Nate ChandlerDL FR | 15 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 52Lucas LambertDT FR | 12 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 0 |
| 2Ezra OdinjorDE FR | 11 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4 | 1 |
| 99Caden CameseDT FR | 10 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Julian FoxLB FR | 64 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 44Isaac ZayLB FR | 60 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 4 | 2 |
| 19Isaac PrinceLB FR | 20 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| 5Damon Ollison IILB FR | 6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 36Nathan GershLB FR | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Armorion SmithS FR | 58 | 5 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 22Nicholas ThompsonS FR | 31 | 2 | 1 | 3.5 |
| 23Israel PetiteCB FR | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0.0 |
| 12Mo ContehS FR | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 4Donovan WatkinsS FR | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 17Kaleb HutchinsonS FR | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 1Cam JonesCB FR | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93Reice GriffithFR | 8/12 | 67% | 49 | 37/37 | 61 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47Markus MeinckeFR | 25 | 41.4 | 55 | 10 | 1 |