Mid-American · 2026 · History
Western Michigan Broncos
5-3 (3-1 Mid-American)Last: L 38-45 at ToledoNext: vs Bowling Green
Lance Taylor · 4th season · .532 at Western Michigan · .532 career since 2023
- Rating
- -1.074
- Adj Off
- 24.781
- Adj Def
- 25.765
- WAP
- -2.0078
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 58.6%15 | 53.5%36 |
| Plays per game | 61.0124 | 71.522 |
| Time of possession | 30:1965 | 29:3877 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.188 | 7.382 |
| Yards per rush | 4.473 | 3.853 |
| Points per game | 26.685 | 20.437 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.4724 | 3.1035 |
| Starting field position | Own 2963 | Own 2737 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.13076 | +0.08179 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.11061 | +0.12779 |
| Success rate | 41.8%84 | 44.2%114 |
| Explosiveness | 1.1897 | 1.1117 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.14751 | +0.01754 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.120102 | +0.13964 |
| Std downs success | 46.8%92 | 47.8%90 |
| Passing downs success | 30.1%83 | 35.9%125 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 60.5%71 | 56.1%77 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.7527 | 1.1382 |
| Penalties per game | 5.535 | 6.857 |
| Penalty yards per game | 46.528 | 64.539 |
| 3rd down conversion | 42.4%50 | 39.6%90 |
| 4th down tries per game | 1.8865 | 3.007 |
| 4th down conversion | 53.3%74 | 45.8%46 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 8.3-3.7
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | @24  Michigan | L12-13 | -0.55 | -0.04 | +0.15 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | Monmouth(FCS) | W49-14 | 0.00 | +0.45 | -0.11 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | @124  Rice | W28-21 | +0.04 | +0.13 | +0.09 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 40  Boise State#21 | L7-32 | -0.79 | -0.16 | +0.35 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | @125  Buffalo | W20-17 | +0.04 | +0.12 | +0.08 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | 130  Kent State | W38-7 | +0.01 | +0.35 | -0.13 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | @116  Central Michigan | W21-14 | +0.05 | +0.23 | +0.02 |
| Oct 24Wk 8 | @62  Toledo | L38-45 | -0.79 | -0.03 | +0.24 |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 131  Bowling Green | -19.990% | +0.01 | — | — |
| Nov 10Wk 11 | @132  Akron | -14.382% | +0.02 | — | — |
| Nov 17Wk 12 | 123  Eastern Michigan | -15.884% | +0.02 | — | — |
| Nov 24Wk 13 | 105  Miami (OH) | -11.176% | +0.03 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12Broc LowryFR | 95% | 112/176 | 63.6% | 1251 | 7.1 | 10 | 3 |
| 10Trey PettyFR | 4% | 5/8 | 62.5% | 59 | 7.4 | 1 | 0 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Jalen BuckleyFR | 41% | 120 | 634 | 5.3 | 8 | 9 |
| 24Ofa MataeleFR | 18% | 53 | 231 | 4.4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4Cole CabanaFR | 4% | 12 | 20 | 1.7 | 1 | 4 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Aveion ChenaultWR FR | 15% | 28 | 431 | 15.4 | 2 |
| 7Baylin BrooksWR FR | 10% | 19 | 206 | 10.8 | 4 |
| 8Egypt NelsonWR FR | 8% | 14 | 142 | 10.1 | 1 |
| 88Nathan LevickiTE FR | 7% | 13 | 162 | 12.5 | 1 |
| 15Adam ParksTE FR | 5% | 10 | 98 | 9.8 | 2 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Scoop Gardner Jr.DE FR | 28 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 7 | 1 |
| 4Austin AlexanderDE FR | 28 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 5 | 1 |
| 94Ahmed TounkaraDT FR | 27 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 41Zavian TibbsDT FR | 22 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 96Dalton GustwillerDL FR | 12 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 98Dakari FrazierDL FR | 9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Justyce BettsLB FR | 59 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12Dillon MooreLB FR | 48 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0 | 2 |
| 47Domanick MoonLB FR | 47 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 |
| 0Brenden AnesLB FR | 34 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 42Gabe WelchLB FR | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Joey PopeS FR | 38 | 5 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 14Daeh McCulloughS FR | 37 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 |
| 8Jarvarius SimsCB FR | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 1Joshua FranklinDB FR | 34 | 5 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 22Amarian LouisS FR | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 18Micah DavisS FR | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 26Kouri CrumpS FR | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32Dieter KellyFR | 8/9 | 89% | 52 | 27/27 | 51 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25Ryan MillmoreFR | 31 | 44.4 | 56 | 11 | 2 |