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Pac-12 · 2026 · History

Boise State Broncos

5-1 (2-0 Pac-12)21st APLast: W 38-31 at Fresno StateNext: at Washington State

Spencer Danielson · 4th season · .763 at Boise State · .763 career since 2023

Rating
+7.240
Adj Off
31.824
Adj Def
24.552
WAP
+0.1522

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate58.6%1638.8%136
Plays per game72.02355.0137
Time of possession36:32223:28137
Yards per pass attempt7.8578.7133
Yards per rush5.4194.594
Points per game35.03822.356
Points per opportunity4.46253.0030
Starting field positionOwn 25135Own 3097

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.31910+0.05560
Adj. EPA per play+0.23514+0.09062
Success rate48.8%2037.0%33
Explosiveness1.22751.62138
Rushing EPA per play+0.22519+0.104100
Passing EPA per play+0.44115+0.10047
Std downs success52.1%3642.2%29
Passing downs success40.3%1028.6%65

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate68.6%3348.5%38
Turnovers per game0.5061.0088
Penalties per game5.5355.0122
Penalty yards per game52.84850.897
3rd down conversion50.0%1627.4%5
4th down tries per game2.33272.0046
4th down conversion64.3%368.3%1

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 8.7-2.3

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 5Wk 1@9OregonL27-34-0.35+0.05+0.17
Sep 12Wk 265MemphisW38-20+0.10+0.46+0.01
Sep 19Wk 3South Dakota(FCS)W38-240.00+0.30+0.02
Sep 26Wk 4@74Western MichiganW32-7+0.17+0.35-0.16
Oct 3Wk 598Utah StateW37-18+0.04+0.33-0.07
Oct 10Wk 6@68Fresno StateW38-31+0.18+0.40+0.36
Oct 24Wk 8@85Washington State-7.969%+0.13——
Oct 31Wk 956Texas State-7.769%+0.14——
Nov 7Wk 10@114Colorado State-16.084%+0.05——
Nov 14Wk 1149Oregon State-6.065%+0.16——
Nov 21Wk 1293San Diego State-16.285%+0.05——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
4Maddux MadsenFR100%110/16666.3%12967.8130

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
0Dylan RileyFR49%1278356.6611
26Sire GainesFR25%653545.437
27Harry Stewart IIIFR5%14412.900
22Juelz GoffFR5%13413.200

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
19Rasean JonesWR FR14%2335915.61
88Matt WagnerTE FR13%2224211.04
82Ben FordWR FR7%1213711.42
5Akeem WrightWR FR7%1118116.51
3Cameron BatesWR FR5%8597.42

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
96Lopez SanusiDL FR102.51.030
97Mikaio EdwardDL FR83.52.510
99Michael MadrieDL FR60.50.000
92David LatuDL FR31.01.020

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
1Boen PhelpsLB FR353.51.020
43Jake RippLB FR151.01.011
5Jayden VirginLB FR134.02.000
95Max StegeLB FR124.02.500
17Logan BrantleyLB FR122.00.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
4Travis AndersonDB FR26131.0
9Derek Ganter Jr.DB FR25101.0
8Sherrod SmithDB FR18601.5
10Madden SoliaiDB FR17004.0
7Jaden MickeyDB FR17002.5
22Roman TillmonDB FR17010.0
6JeRico Washington Jr.DB FR11501.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
48Canaan MooreFR9/1090%4923/2350

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
37Oscar DoyleFR1643.85851