Fresno State Bulldogs
4-3 (1-2 Pac-12)Last: L 23-26 at San Diego StateNext: vs Oregon State
Matt Entz · 2nd season · .650 at Fresno State · .650 career since 2025
- Rating
- -0.468
- Adj Off
- 25.077
- Adj Def
- 25.462
- WAP
- -1.9476
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 48.5%84 | 52.0%48 |
| Plays per game | 62.1120 | 67.947 |
| Time of possession | 29:3878 | 30:2259 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.475 | 7.277 |
| Yards per rush | 4.376 | 4.6103 |
| Points per game | 27.679 | 20.940 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.0256 | 3.1237 |
| Starting field position | Own 3213 | Own 257 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.11188 | +0.03651 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.08484 | +0.08760 |
| Success rate | 40.0%110 | 41.9%87 |
| Explosiveness | 1.2843 | 1.1843 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.002112 | +0.00145 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.30242 | +0.12457 |
| Std downs success | 43.1%122 | 48.2%96 |
| Passing downs success | 33.1%51 | 27.3%47 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 53.7%99 | 51.7%58 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.579 | 1.7119 |
| Penalties per game | 4.38 | 6.381 |
| Penalty yards per game | 31.03 | 48.1110 |
| 3rd down conversion | 36.1%105 | 35.6%50 |
| 4th down tries per game | 1.00124 | 2.4321 |
| 4th down conversion | 28.6%125 | 47.1%51 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 6.2-4.8
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4Wk 1 | @14  USC#16 | L0-39 | -0.46 | -0.35 | +0.23 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | 138  Sacramento State | W49-3 | +0.00 | +0.39 | -0.19 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | @118  San José State | W26-10 | +0.05 | +0.04 | -0.17 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 124  Rice | W38-24 | +0.02 | +0.24 | +0.18 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | @85  Washington State | W26-6 | +0.13 | +0.08 | -0.43 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | 40  Boise State#21 | L31-38 | -0.79 | +0.36 | +0.40 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | @93  San Diego State | L23-26 | -0.90 | -0.06 | +0.14 |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 49  Oregon State | +1.646% | +0.16 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | @98  Utah State | -4.461% | +0.08 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | @56  Texas State | +5.936% | +0.24 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | 114  Colorado State | -14.482% | +0.02 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Jayden MandalFR | 97% | 123/195 | 63.1% | 1393 | 7.1 | 8 | 1 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Bryson DonelsonFR | 29% | 65 | 299 | 4.6 | 5 | 6 |
| 2Rayshon LukeFR | 23% | 52 | 333 | 6.4 | 1 | 14 |
| 24Julius GillickFR | 15% | 34 | 143 | 4.2 | 4 | 2 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5Josiah FreemanWR FR | 15% | 31 | 424 | 13.7 | 2 |
| 0Ezekiel AvitWR FR | 11% | 22 | 373 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 1Jahlil McClainWR FR | 9% | 19 | 204 | 10.7 | 1 |
| 86Gavin CorreiaTE FR | 4% | 8 | 72 | 9.0 | 1 |
| 11Jayon FarrarWR FR | 4% | 8 | 45 | 5.6 | 0 |
| 87Jake ApplegetTE FR | 3% | 7 | 71 | 10.1 | 0 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11Dylan HampstenDL FR | 29 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 6Jahzon JacksDL FR | 25 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 1 |
| 8Martin OwusuDL FR | 25 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 95Maverick NoonanDL FR | 17 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 |
| 0Deijon LaffitteDL FR | 14 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 0 |
| 99Logan GoodspeedDL FR | 11 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1K'Vion ThunderbirdLB FR | 61 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 35Tytus KhajaviLB FR | 30 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 36Tommy NixLB FR | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18Logan StudtLB FR | 12 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 43Niko BaumgartnerLB FR | 9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5Simeon HarrisDB FR | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 |
| 27Gerayas GrimesDB FR | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 3Jaden CarrilloDB FR | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 7Loyall MouzonDB FR | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 31Kiontre HarrisDB FR | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0.0 |
| 4Ethan TierneyDB FR | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 |
| 33Taylor PowellDB FR | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38Mitchell WatanabeFR | 13/15 | 87% | 52 | 18/19 | 57 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41Nick VerdugoFR | 25 | 42.0 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 49Clay LawrenceFR | 4 | 40.5 | 48 | 2 | 0 |