

USC Trojans
6-1 (3-1 Big Ten)16th APLast: W 31-23 at Penn StateNext: at Wisconsin
Lincoln Riley · 5th season · .683 at USC · .768 career since 2017
- Rating
- +15.614
- Adj Off
- 37.38
- Adj Def
- 21.731
- WAP
- +0.4514
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 48.8%82 | 47.1%99 |
| Plays per game | 70.934 | 60.0128 |
| Time of possession | 32:5018 | 27:10121 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 9.115 | 8.4128 |
| Yards per rush | 4.379 | 3.745 |
| Points per game | 36.424 | 25.178 |
| Points per opportunity | 4.4328 | 4.16119 |
| Starting field position | Own 2977 | Own 2621 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.30611 | +0.144104 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.3005 | +0.06547 |
| Success rate | 51.6%5 | 40.9%73 |
| Explosiveness | 1.2182 | 1.32115 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.08479 | +0.02258 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.5514 | +0.368123 |
| Std downs success | 54.5%14 | 45.4%62 |
| Passing downs success | 43.4%3 | 32.1%105 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 69.8%26 | 57.9%82 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.8634 | 0.86110 |
| Penalties per game | 6.356 | 4.6128 |
| Penalty yards per game | 55.766 | 38.3127 |
| 3rd down conversion | 51.2%14 | 32.0%25 |
| 4th down tries per game | 2.2932 | 2.4321 |
| 4th down conversion | 75.0%8 | 76.5%124 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 8.6-3.4
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29Wk 1 | 118 | W42-26 | +0.02 | +0.34 | +0.21 |
| Sep 4Wk 1 | 68 | W39-0 | +0.10 | +0.23 | -0.35 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | 75 | W49-30 | +0.09 | +0.34 | +0.31 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | @81 | W42-35 | +0.15 | +0.36 | +0.18 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 9 | L27-41 | -0.50 | +0.27 | +0.44 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | 38 | W25-21 | +0.22 | +0.18 | +0.02 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | @33 | W31-23 | +0.37 | +0.44 | +0.04 |
| Oct 24Wk 8 | @42 | -6.165% | +0.32 | — | — |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | 1 | +10.625% | +0.72 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | @7 | +8.430% | +0.68 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | 79 | -20.490% | +0.08 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | @21 | 0.050% | +0.47 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14Jayden MaiavaFRPOTY 7 | 94% | 152/224 | 67.9% | 2045 | 9.1 | 18 | 3 |
| 15Jonas WilliamsFR | 6% | 12/14 | 85.7% | 126 | 9.0 | 0 | 1 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8King MillerFR | 46% | 114 | 595 | 5.2 | 4 | 4 |
| 2Waymond JordanFR | 26% | 63 | 287 | 4.6 | 2 | 5 |
| 22Shahn AlstonFR | 7% | 17 | 92 | 5.4 | 1 | 0 |
| 27Riley WormleyFR | 5% | 13 | 71 | 5.5 | 2 | 9 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17Kayden Dixon-WyattWR FR | 11% | 27 | 400 | 14.8 | 4 |
| 4Trent MosleyWR FR | 9% | 22 | 366 | 16.6 | 5 |
| 19Mark BowmanTE FR | 9% | 21 | 204 | 9.7 | 2 |
| 0Zach WilliamsWR FR | 8% | 18 | 315 | 17.5 | 1 |
| 16Tanook HinesWR FR | 6% | 15 | 195 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 10Corey SimmsWR FR | 5% | 12 | 178 | 14.8 | 1 |
| 85Tron BakerWR FR | 3% | 8 | 111 | 13.9 | 0 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94Luke WafleDE FR | 27 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 1Kameryn FountainDE FR | 20 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 0 |
| 97Jide AbasiriDT FR | 16 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 91Alex VanSumerenDT FR | 11 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18Zuriah FisherDE FR | 9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 88Floyd BoucardDT FR | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17Deven BryantLB FR | 39 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8Desman Stephens IILB FR | 28 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| 14Ta'Mere RobinsonLB FR | 12 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15Jadyn WalkerLB FR | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22Talanoa IliLB FR | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6Christian PierceS FR | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0.0 |
| 9Kennedy UrlacherS FR | 21 | 1 | 0 | 4.0 |
| 7Alex GrahamCB FR | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| 16Prophet BrownCB FR | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0.0 |
| 0Jontez WilliamsCB FR | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 27Chasen JohnsonCB FR | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 21RJ SermonsCB FR | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45Caden ChittendenFR | 7/8 | 88% | 39 | 30/30 | 51 |
| 48Ryon SayeriFR | 0/1 | 0% | 0 | 0/0 | 0 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35Lachlan CarriganFR | 12 | 49.8 | 56 | 5 | 2 |