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Big Ten · 2026 · History

Penn State Nittany Lions

3-4 (0-4 Big Ten)Last: L 18-21 at MichiganNext: vs Purdue

Matt Campbell · 1st season · .429 at Penn State · .598 career since 2011

Rating
+8.633
Adj Off
29.645
Adj Def
21.029
WAP
-2.4392

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate48.2%8754.7%28
Plays per game68.75761.1121
Time of possession30:236229:3778
Yards per pass attempt7.8545.65
Yards per rush3.81094.9118
Points per game28.77118.928
Points per opportunity3.84673.6182
Starting field positionOwn 3126Own 2621

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.12184+0.06061
Adj. EPA per play+0.13152+0.04536
Success rate41.6%8639.3%52
Explosiveness1.20891.2584
Rushing EPA per play+0.003111+0.174120
Passing EPA per play+0.33834-0.01414
Std downs success46.0%10145.0%55
Passing downs success29.5%8927.0%42

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate53.5%10147.1%32
Turnovers per game1.00401.5726
Penalties per game4.4115.6104
Penalty yards per game44.12050.4100
3rd down conversion36.2%10428.7%7
4th down tries per game1.71801.43102
4th down conversion75.0%880.0%133

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 6.4-5.6

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 5Wk 1115MarshallW45-0+0.02+0.42-0.37
Sep 12Wk 2@108TempleW27-9+0.07+0.21+0.09
Sep 19Wk 3125BuffaloW55-13+0.01+0.40-0.12
Sep 26Wk 442WisconsinL20-24-0.80-0.17-0.03
Oct 2Wk 5@27Northwestern#24L13-34-0.57+0.01+0.25
Oct 10Wk 614USC#16L23-31-0.61+0.04+0.44
Oct 17Wk 7@24MichiganL18-21-0.55-0.07+0.10
Oct 31Wk 967Purdue-11.877%+0.10——
Nov 7Wk 10@38Washington+1.845%+0.34——
Nov 14Wk 1154Minnesota-8.671%+0.14——
Nov 21Wk 1281Rutgers-14.382%+0.08——
Nov 28Wk 13@79Maryland-7.468%+0.16——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
3Rocco BechtFR93%132/21062.9%16647.9125
7Alex ManskeFR6%9/1464.3%1027.300

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
21Carson HansenFR30%722783.945
1James PeoplesFR24%572464.323
25Quinton Martin Jr.FR13%311605.214
26Cam WallaceFR9%221255.721

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
0Chase SowellWR FR15%3451015.03
87Andrew RappleyeaTE FR11%241807.52
4Brett EskildsenWR FR10%2222710.31
18Benjamin BrahmerTE FR9%212069.83
6Koby HowardWR FR5%1234428.72
2Zay RobinsonWR FR4%812215.31

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
99Keanu WilliamsDT FR170.00.001
19Yvan KemajouDE FR142.51.041
92Siale LikuDT FR141.50.000
33Alexander McPhersonDE FR121.00.020
1Ikenna EzeoguDE FR110.00.040
91Armstrong NnodimDT FR91.00.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
13Tony RojasLB FR5610.55.022
8Kooper EbelLB FR402.51.020
9Cael BrezinaLB FR230.00.000
10Caleb BaconLB FR195.01.000
25Alex TatschLB FR111.50.000

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
3Jamison PattonS FR26000.0
7Zion TracyCB FR22312.0
31Marcus NealS FR22000.0
4Jeremiah CooperS FR19200.0
17Josiah ZayasCB FR16122.0
2Audavion CollinsCB FR15700.0
5Daryus DixsonCB FR14210.5

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
94Ryan BarkerFR11/1385%4821/2154
98Matthew ParkerFR0/0—01/11

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
38Nathan TiyceFR3141.160124