Virginia Cavaliers
4-4 (2-3 ACC)Last: L 16-19 vs DukeNext: at Wake Forest
Tony Elliott · 5th season · .464 at Virginia · .464 career since 2022
- Rating
- +2.458
- Adj Off
- 25.077
- Adj Def
- 22.536
- WAP
- -2.6999
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 54.9%31 | 51.7%56 |
| Plays per game | 69.649 | 64.193 |
| Time of possession | 32:0332 | 27:57107 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.663 | 6.543 |
| Yards per rush | 3.9106 | 4.172 |
| Points per game | 28.376 | 19.634 |
| Points per opportunity | 3.9062 | 3.4670 |
| Starting field position | Own 3135 | Own 2634 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.13774 | +0.01844 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.08582 | +0.05944 |
| Success rate | 42.5%77 | 38.2%46 |
| Explosiveness | 1.16109 | 1.1734 |
| Rushing EPA per play | +0.11066 | +0.05875 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.21674 | +0.07741 |
| Std downs success | 51.0%46 | 44.9%53 |
| Passing downs success | 23.1%131 | 24.7%20 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 59.6%76 | 52.9%62 |
| Turnovers per game | 0.6319 | 1.1382 |
| Penalties per game | 4.916 | 5.899 |
| Penalty yards per game | 46.929 | 52.883 |
| 3rd down conversion | 32.4%124 | 33.0%33 |
| 4th down tries per game | 3.005 | 1.7574 |
| 4th down conversion | 66.7%28 | 50.0%54 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 5.9-6.1
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29Wk 1 | 55  NC State | W34-8 | +0.14 | +0.27 | -0.31 |
| Sep 11Wk 2 | Norfolk State(FCS) | W59-3 | 0.00 | +0.41 | -0.41 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | N78  West Virginia | L27-38 | -0.88 | +0.15 | +0.30 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | 111  Delaware | W42-3 | +0.03 | +0.31 | -0.22 |
| Oct 3Wk 5 | @37  Florida State | L7-38 | -0.66 | -0.29 | +0.33 |
| Oct 10Wk 6 | 72  Syracuse | W28-25 | +0.10 | +0.25 | +0.11 |
| Oct 17Wk 7 | @29  SMU#23 | L13-23 | -0.59 | +0.12 | +0.15 |
| Oct 23Wk 8 | 47  Duke | L16-19 | -0.83 | -0.08 | +0.06 |
| Oct 31Wk 9 | @24  Wake Forest#17 | +12.422% | +0.45 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | 92  California | -11.376% | +0.05 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | 50  North Carolina | -1.654% | +0.16 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | @46  Virginia Tech | +5.437% | +0.28 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7Beau PribulaFR | 87% | 119/183 | 65.0% | 1375 | 7.5 | 13 | 2 |
| 10Eli HolsteinFR | 9% | 12/18 | 66.7% | 180 | 10.0 | 3 | 0 |
| 6Cole GeerFR | 3% | 3/7 | 42.9% | 45 | 6.4 | 1 | 0 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21Jekail MiddlebrookFR | 32% | 105 | 513 | 4.9 | 4 | 12 |
| 25Xay DavisFR | 15% | 50 | 235 | 4.7 | 2 | 7 |
| 0Xavier BrownFR | 10% | 34 | 182 | 5.4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3Noah VaughnFR | 8% | 28 | 141 | 5.0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2Peyton LewisFR | 3% | 10 | 17 | 1.7 | 1 | 0 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5Kameron CourtneyWR FR | 9% | 18 | 204 | 11.3 | 2 |
| 18Dashawn MartinWR FR | 8% | 17 | 253 | 14.9 | 5 |
| 89John RogersTE FR | 7% | 14 | 140 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 11Rico FloresWR FR | 6% | 12 | 158 | 13.2 | 1 |
| 4Jacquon GibsonWR FR | 5% | 10 | 117 | 11.7 | 2 |
| 9Dakota TwittyTE FR | 5% | 10 | 103 | 10.3 | 0 |
| 8Tylyric ColemanWR FR | 5% | 10 | 89 | 8.9 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14Fisher CamacDE FR | 33 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 5 | 2 |
| 16Matthew Fobbs-WhiteDE FR | 28 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 9 | 0 |
| 55Anthony BrittonDT FR | 26 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 33Nnanna AnyanwuDE FR | 18 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 51Sichan JohnDT FR | 17 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 44Darrion HenryDT FR | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11Maddox MarcellusLB FR | 38 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5Kamren RobinsonLB FR | 29 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 |
| 32Landon DanleyLB FR | 28 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13Myles BrownLB FR | 27 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 26Caleb HardyLB FR | 8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Jacobie HendersonCB FR | 40 | 5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 30Ethan MinterS FR | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 1Montino WilliamsS FR | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 |
| 8Christian EllisS FR | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 6Brandyn HillmanS FR | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 |
| 17Justin RossCB FR | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 2Donavon PlattDB FR | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41Will BettridgeFR | 8/11 | 73% | 47 | 27/27 | 51 |
| 43Chris MessmoreFR | 0/0 | — | 0 | 1/1 | 1 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38Daniel SparksFR | 36 | 51.1 | 73 | 17 | 2 |