Conference USA · 2026 · History
Missouri State Bears
2-5 (1-2 Conference USA)Last: L 38-61 at DelawareNext: vs Sam Houston
Casey Woods · 1st season · .286 at Missouri State · .286 career
- Rating
- -16.1128
- Adj Off
- 20.5109
- Adj Def
- 36.6131
- WAP
- -3.91122
Style profile
Style
What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Run rate | 47.9%91 | 52.0%46 |
| Plays per game | 63.9105 | 73.310 |
| Time of possession | 26:59128 | 33:0010 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 7.761 | 7.8109 |
| Yards per rush | 4.0100 | 4.7106 |
| Points per game | 24.494 | 34.9131 |
| Points per opportunity | 3.8566 | 4.23121 |
| Starting field position | Own 27121 | Own 33137 |
Efficiency and EPA
Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per play | +0.07798 | +0.270134 |
| Adj. EPA per play | +0.007116 | +0.266134 |
| Success rate | 41.4%88 | 50.1%135 |
| Explosiveness | 1.2471 | 1.1321 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.020117 | +0.158115 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.25358 | +0.377127 |
| Std downs success | 47.9%74 | 56.0%137 |
| Passing downs success | 26.8%113 | 35.0%122 |
Situational
Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.
| Stat | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Red zone TD rate | 61.3%68 | 73.8%136 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.4392 | 1.0088 |
| Penalties per game | 8.9131 | 7.631 |
| Penalty yards per game | 70.6117 | 75.08 |
| 3rd down conversion | 36.5%97 | 44.6%121 |
| 4th down tries per game | 2.2932 | 2.0046 |
| 4th down conversion | 37.5%118 | 78.6%131 |
Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.
Schedule and resultsProjected 3.8-8.2
| Date | Opponent | Result / projection | WAP | Off EPA | Def EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5Wk 1 | @16  Texas A&M | L0-50 | -0.49 | -0.43 | +0.35 |
| Sep 12Wk 2 | Lindenwood(FCS) | W48-14 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.06 |
| Sep 19Wk 3 | 115  Marshall | L24-30 | -0.98 | +0.39 | +0.34 |
| Sep 26Wk 4 | @29  SMU#23 | L24-34 | -0.59 | -0.12 | +0.19 |
| Oct 8Wk 6 | @100  Western Kentucky | L13-34 | -0.92 | -0.05 | +0.33 |
| Oct 14Wk 7 | 122  Kennesaw State | W24-21 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.09 |
| Oct 20Wk 8 | @111  Delaware | L38-61 | -0.94 | +0.20 | +0.54 |
| Oct 27Wk 9 | 126  Sam Houston | -2.155% | +0.01 | — | — |
| Nov 7Wk 10 | @109  Florida International | +9.128% | +0.06 | — | — |
| Nov 14Wk 11 | 120  New Mexico State | +0.150% | +0.02 | — | — |
| Nov 21Wk 12 | @97  Jacksonville State | +11.723% | +0.09 | — | — |
| Nov 28Wk 13 | 69  Liberty | +12.621% | +0.10 | — | — |
Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.
Key players
Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.
Offense
Quarterbacks
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | C/A | Cmp% | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2Henry Belin IVFR | 50% | 73/108 | 67.6% | 887 | 8.2 | 6 | 4 |
| 9Skyler LocklearFR | 50% | 71/108 | 65.7% | 788 | 7.3 | 4 | 2 |
Running backs
Share of rushes| Player | Share | Car | Yds | Y/C | TD | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22Ramone Green Jr.FR | 25% | 57 | 246 | 4.3 | 2 | 8 |
| 40Connor LairFR | 20% | 46 | 183 | 4.0 | 3 | 9 |
| 1Jambres DubarFR | 19% | 42 | 233 | 5.5 | 2 | 4 |
| 10King DavisFR | 6% | 14 | 46 | 3.3 | 0 | 1 |
| 43Amar'e JohnsonFR | 3% | 7 | 37 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 |
Receivers
Share of pass attempts| Player | Share | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Isaiah MyersWR FR | 17% | 38 | 796 | 20.9 | 7 |
| 0Jmariyae RobinsonWR FR | 17% | 37 | 296 | 8.0 | 0 |
| 6Mekhi MillerWR FR | 6% | 13 | 146 | 11.2 | 0 |
| 85Dillon HippTE FR | 6% | 13 | 122 | 9.4 | 1 |
| 88Jeron AskrenTE FR | 5% | 11 | 77 | 7.0 | 1 |
Defense
Defensive line
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | Hur | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11Tim Brantley Jr.DL FR | 19 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 57Gilles TchioDL FR | 14 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 92Joshua LukusaDE FR | 10 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 0 |
| 30Caden WiestDE FR | 10 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| 49Dylan BrooksDE FR | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| 5Kellen LindstromDE FR | 9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Linebackers
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | TFL | Sck | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0Jared LloydLB FR | 79 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
| 21Jashawn CooperLB FR | 30 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15Martavis BlackmonLB FR | 23 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
| 38Stratton ShufeltLB FR | 16 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24Caleb OlabodeLB FR | 10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 |
Defensive backs
Total tackles| Player | Tkl | PD | INT | TFL |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16J.J. O'NealS FR | 42 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 |
| 29Christian FordS FR | 41 | 3 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 12Joel BoamahCB FR | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1.0 |
| 8Joel KpassouCB FR | 30 | 5 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 33Anthony MattisonS FR | 23 | 2 | 0 | 3.5 |
| 7Malik GanawayCB FR | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| 2Antonio SmithS FR | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Special teams
Kickers
By kicks attempted| Player | FG | FG% | Long | XP | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36Yousef ObeidFR | 8/10 | 80% | 35 | 11/11 | 35 |
| 25Stewart McDonaldFR | 0/1 | 0% | 0 | 6/7 | 6 |
Punters
By punts| Player | Punts | Avg | Long | In 20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25Stewart McDonaldFR | 23 | 41.2 | 57 | 7 | 1 |