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Conference USA · 2026 · History

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

4-3 (2-1 Conference USA)Last: W 26-23 at Florida InternationalNext: vs Kennesaw State

Derek Mason · 3rd season · .323 at Middle Tennessee · .327 career since 2014

Rating
-15.3127
Adj Off
18.6119
Adj Def
33.9126
WAP
-2.4993

Style profile

Style

What the offense does with the ball, and what the defense faces.

StatOffenseDefense
Run rate43.7%12554.8%26
Plays per game59.912964.489
Time of possession28:3710529:4873
Yards per pass attempt6.51207.9114
Yards per rush5.1345.3126
Points per game23.310327.6104
Points per opportunity3.55913.6485
Starting field positionOwn 2898Own 2742

Efficiency and EPA

Down-by-down quality, measured in predicted points.

StatOffenseDefense
EPA per play+0.13972+0.191119
Adj. EPA per play+0.025112+0.233128
Success rate40.3%10448.1%132
Explosiveness1.26561.1631
Rushing EPA per play+0.07386+0.206126
Passing EPA per play+0.19880+0.20786
Std downs success45.9%10353.6%134
Passing downs success28.7%9532.8%109

Situational

Red zone finishing, ball security, discipline, and money downs.

StatOffenseDefense
Red zone TD rate46.0%12160.5%97
Turnovers per game0.5791.2953
Penalties per game7.3976.758
Penalty yards per game53.05055.670
3rd down conversion25.6%13740.7%97
4th down tries per game1.57931.43102
4th down conversion63.6%3860.0%94

Rank out of 138 FBS teams. Green is good for the team, red is bad. Blue only orients neutral traits like tempo and run rate.

Schedule and resultsProjected 6.0-6.0

DateOpponentResult / projectionWAPOff EPADef EPA
Sep 5Wk 1Murray State(FCS)W38-140.00+0.39+0.14
Sep 12Wk 2@115MarshallL26-28-0.95+0.17+0.10
Sep 19Wk 3119NevadaW27-20+0.02+0.15-0.03
Sep 26Wk 4@97Jacksonville StateL13-23-0.91+0.12+0.18
Oct 3Wk 5@51KansasL0-55-0.74-0.47+0.54
Oct 13Wk 7111DelawareW33-30+0.03+0.25+0.24
Oct 20Wk 8@109Florida InternationalW26-23+0.07+0.210.00
Oct 28Wk 9122Kennesaw State-1.353%+0.02——
Nov 7Wk 10100Western Kentucky+3.641%+0.04——
Nov 14Wk 11@69Liberty+17.913%+0.18——
Nov 21Wk 12@126Sam Houston+3.142%+0.03——
Nov 28Wk 13120New Mexico State-0.752%+0.02——

Unplayed games show the projected spread from this team's view (negative = favored) and its win probability, from the ratings; their WAP is what a win would be worth. How the ratings work.

Key players

Sorted by how much of the offense runs through them. Bold rows are the primary option at each spot; the shade tracks their share.

Offense

Quarterbacks

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareC/ACmp%YdsY/ATDINT
16Roman GaglianoFR100%126/21558.6%14046.5122

Running backs

Share of rushes
PlayerShareCarYdsY/CTDRec
8Antonio MartinFR49%944805.115
9Terrence Brown Jr.FR22%433127.3220
29DJ TaylorFR4%7253.601

Receivers

Share of pass attempts
PlayerShareRecYdsY/RTD
3Cam'Ron LacyWR FR19%4143710.74
85Neo CliftonWR FR7%1622814.33
1Markus AllenWR FR4%917619.61
83Koraun PerdueTE FR4%814618.32
13Ziyon ButlerWR FR4%810012.50
6AJ JonesWR FR4%88811.01

Defense

Defensive line

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckHurPD
95Zeion Simpson-SmithDT FR262.01.010
91Felix HixonNT FR160.00.011
93Aidan ButtsDE FR131.00.041
90Justin BodfordDT FR72.00.000
99Archie Roseman VNT FR30.50.000
98Emmanuel GyamfiNT FR30.00.000

Linebackers

Total tackles
PlayerTklTFLSckPDINT
26Korey SmithLB FR612.51.010
13Ashton TaylorLB FR452.01.510
44Kaven CallLB FR182.01.000
17Jayson LoweLB FR171.00.000
46Reggie JohnsonLB FR150.50.010

Defensive backs

Total tackles
PlayerTklPDINTTFL
2Jackson LoweCB FR40302.0
30Bryce WilliamsS FR31010.0
0Kalen WoodsS FR26110.0
11James JohnsonS FR24211.5
21Jason HardyCB FR15210.0
22Quantaves GaskinsS FR11000.5
19Aidan SingletonCB FR8000.0

Special teams

Kickers

By kicks attempted
PlayerFGFG%LongXPPts
91Dominic BourgeoisFR10/1191%5217/1747

Punters

By punts
PlayerPuntsAvgLongIn 20TB
92Ashton LoganFR3449.27696